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Dayton vs. Duquesne,
01/14/17 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#511 Dayton
Flyers
#512 Duquesne
Dukes

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Dayton Flyers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Duquesne Dukes

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAB

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Dayton Flyers v. Duquesne Dukes at the A.J. Palumbo Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Saturday, January 14th, 2017 at 12:00 p.m. EST

Point Spread: Dayton -10.5

Over/Under: 143.5

The Duquesne Dukes are hosting their neighbors to the west in this conference matchup with the Dayton Flyers. The Dukes are floating just above .500 at 9-8 this season. They’ve split their first four games in the Atlantic 10, so they have a 2-2 conference record. The Dayton Flyers, on the other hand, have looked pretty impressive this season. The Flyers are 12-4, and they’ve gone 3-1 early on in their Atlantic 10 schedule. Will Dayton pick up their fourth conference win in this trip to Pittsburgh?

Dayton loses in Amherst

The Dayton Flyers lost their first conference game of the season on Wednesday night, falling 67-55 to the UMass Minutemen in Amherst, Massachusetts. The Flyers really struggled in the loss. They only had one player, Kyle Davis, reach double-digits in scoring. Davis put up 16 points on 75% shooting against the Minutemen. The Chicago native also added 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 3 steals in the loss.

Dayton’s offense was atrocious in the loss to Massachusetts. The Flyers made less than 32% of their shots from the field. Additionally, Dayton only made 30% of their three-point attempts. They also really struggled to hit from the free throw line. The Flyers missed 9 free throws, and only connected on 59% of their attempts from the charity stripe. Dayton has struggled from the line all season long. They’re only converting on 65% of their free throws, which is the fourth worst percentage in the Atlantic 10.

Duquesne slips past the Billikens

The Duquesne Dukes used a strong second half to pick up a 73-66 win over the St. Louis Billikens on Wednesday night. The Dukes outscored the Billikens 33-18 in the final 15 minutes of play. Isiaha Mike led the way for Duquesne. Mike put up an impressive double-double in the victory. He poured in a game-high 24 points on 57% shooting to go with 13 rebounds, an assist, and a steal. Tarin Smith also had a nice game. Smith had 14 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds, a steal, and a block.

Duquesne had a great shooting night against St. Louis. They connected on over 52% of their field goal attempts. The Dukes also did a great job of controlling the boards. They collected 36 rebounds and held a 3 rebound advantage over the Billikens. Duquesne has been one of the Atlantic 10’s best rebounding teams. The Dukes are averaging 38.6 boards a game, which is the third most in the conference.

Trends

The Dayton Flyers are:

  • 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Atlantic 10.
  • 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
  • 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

The Duquesne Dukes are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
  • 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.

The Dayton Flyers have struggled to score in their past few games. They’re averaging just 69.5 points in their last four games. Meanwhile, Duquesne is averaging 79 points in their last four games. The Dukes have scored 70 or more points in their last seven games. Isiaha Mike has been coming along nicely during that span. The young freshman is averaging nearly 15 points in his last seven games. I like the Dukes at home against Dayton on Saturday afternoon.

Pick: Duquesne Dukes

Jake Domonkos

When he's not watching sports or making picks, Jake enjoys playing pick-up basketball, rec-league softball, ping pong, and drinking good beer. Jake closely follows all four major sports and uses the latest trends and up-to-date statistical analysis to make his picks.

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