Georgia Bulldogs (11-5 SU, 6-6 ATS, 5-7 O/U) vs. Florida Gators (13-3 SU, 9-5 ATS, 8-6 O/U)
NCAAB: Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 12:00 p.m. EST
The Line: Florida Gators -10. Total: 141.5
The Florida Gators have won six games in a row heading into a home date with the Georgia Bulldogs at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center on Saturday afternoon. Florida most recently extend its winning streak by defeating Alabama on Tuesday. The Bulldogs are coming off consecutive victories over Missouri and Ole Miss.
Need better perimeter play
Georgia scored a 69-47 road win over Ole Miss earlier this week. As usual, the Bulldogs crashed the boards in impressive fashion. They out-rebounded the Rebels 44 to 34 and grabbed 35 defensive rebounds compared to Ole Miss’ 25 on the defensive end. That once again made up for the fact the Georgia basically cannot hit threes. It went 5-for-18 against the Rebels from long range.
UGA leads the SEC and is 19th in the nation in defensive rebounds at 28.9 per game. The Gators, by contrast, are last in the SEC with 23.3 per game. However, the Bulldogs are anemic from perimeter with an average of 5.3 three-pointers per contest. That is last in the SEC. Their 31 percent marksmanship–or lack thereof–from the land of plenty is 13th in the conference.
Florida has been dominant against Georgia at home, winning the last 13 meetings. The Gators swept the head-to-head series last season, with a 77-63 win at home and a 57-53 victory in Athens. KeVaughn Allen scored a team-high 18 points in the home victory over UGA.
The Gators are coming off an 80-67 defeat of Alabama, during which they led by 18 points before blowing all of that advantage only to recover down the stretch. Allen and Justin Leon combined for 42 points in a victory over Tennessee last Saturday but managed only 10 between them against ‘Bama. Freshman Keith Stone picked up the slack, coming off the bench to score 14 points on 3-for-3 shooting from three-point range. Canyon Barry added 13 points, marking the fifth time in six games he has scored in double-figures off the bench.
The Georgia Bulldogs are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win
- 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Florida
- 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games against Florida
The Florida Gators are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last six overall
- 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games
- 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the SEC
The Bulldogs are a stellar defensive rebounding team. Unfortunately, they would like to be more effective on the offensive glass based on how many shots they miss from the perimeter. Florida has dominated its rival at home in recent times and there is no reason to think the tide will suddenly turn. Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS win, 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams, and 0-7 ATS in its last seven trips to Florida. The Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home, 5-2 ATS in their last seven against the SEC, and 5-1 ATS in their last six against winning opponents. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.