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Pacific vs. San Francisco,
01/14/17 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#665 Pacific
Tigers
#666 San Francisco
Dons

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 11:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pacific Tigers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

San Francisco Dons

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAB

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Pacific vs. San Francisco

NCAA Basketball:  Saturday, January 14th, 11:00 pm EST

Line:  San Francisco -7.5

Total: 141

Pacific travels west from Stockton to play San Francisco in a WCC conference game.  Pacific pulled a nice win out of the hat on Thursday, holding off Pepperdine numerous times in the second half to win a close one.  The win raised the Tigers record to 8-10 overall and 2-3 in conference.  The Dons lost by 10 at BYU which all things considered isn’t that bad a result.  It’s still dropped the Dons to 1-4 in the WCC however.

Against the spread, San Francisco has been the far better team.  Pacific is 6-9-2 overall ATS and only 2-4-1 on the road.  Meanwhile, the Dons are 11-7 overall against the spread and 7-5 at home, where they will be playing on Saturday.

Pacific wins a close one

Pacific took a two point halftime lead over Pepperdine on Thursday night and the game stayed close throughout.  The Tigers were able to nag the win in the end, by a score of 79-74.  T.J. Wallace led the Tigers with 25 points.  He also had 10 assists and six rebounds for a great all around game.

He was joined by three other Tigers in double digits, most notably reserve forward Jack Williams who finished with 17 points.  Not bad from a guy who averages less than nine points a year off the bench.  The Tigers will now face a tougher foe as Pepperdine has been downright awful this year.

USF loses at BYU

USF started the season 10-2, but it was against weak competition and I think most everyone realized it was fool’s gold.  They have now lost five of six since and are 1-4 in the WCC.  They are not a pushover though, as BYU found out on Thursday.  San Francisco trailed by six at half, but stayed close throughout, just unable to make a late rally.  They missed 25 of 33 three-pointers or this really would have been close down the stretch.

The Dons were led by Remu Raitanen off the bench with 16 points.  He shot six of 11 and made four three pointers.  He also added six rebounds.  He had to be one of the more surprising leading scorers in college basketball on Thursday as he came in averaging only 3.9 points per game.  See him to get a few more minutes than usual on Saturday.

Trends:

The Pacific Tigers are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games.

The San Francisco Dons are:

  • 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.

The Tigers were lousy out of conference schedule and that has carried over to WCC play.  While San Francisco hasn’t been very good in conference, they were very good out of conference and I think they are the better team here, and by quite a bit. They have also been a good home team against the spread and I’ll take them on Saturday.  I expect them to get out to a 10 point half time lead and coast in the second half.

Pick: San Francisco

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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