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UC Davis vs. Cal State Northridge,
01/14/17 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#673 UC Davis
Aggies
#674 Cal State Northridge
Matadors

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 10:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UC Davis Aggies

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Cal State Northridge Matadors

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

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UC Davis vs. Cal State Northridge

NCAA Basketball:  Saturday January 14th, 10:30 pm EST

Line:  N/A

The Aggies of UC Davis head to Cal State Northridge to take on the Matadors on Saturday night.  The Aggies have been much better than expected until Thursday’s loss and one of the only teams that has a winning overall record who plays in the Big West conference.  It was an awful out of conference year for the teams of the Big West.  Northridge is 3-0 in conference for the first time since 2007-2008 after beating Long Beach State on Wednesday.

Davis has been equally as good as the spread as they have been in the W/L column.  They are 11-4 overall ATS and 5-3 away from home.  Northridge is 6-8 overall against the spread and a lousy 2-5 at home.

Davis loses to Riverside

UC Davis lost their first conference game of the year, and it’s one they should have won.  They lost to the Highlanders of UC Riverside who came in at 0-2 in conference and 2-11 overall.  Davis was pathetic in the first half, there’s no other way to put it, scoring only 16 points.  They trailed by five and never could get over the hump in the second half, losing 61-55.

The defense played fine, and it was the offense that bears the brunt of  this loss.  They shot an atrocious 29% from the field, missing 46 of 65 shots.  They missed 22 of their 28 three pointers and even shot poor from the free throw line.

Northridge is 3-0

It appears that starting the Big West conference schedule can be the cure all for a bad season.  Cal State Northridge was 4-9 and going nowhere fast, but now have rattled off a 3-0 start to their Big West season.  They beat Long Beach State 89-82 on the road on Wednesday.  The 49ers had a three point lead at half, but the Matadors played a flawless second half and won going away.

They were led by Kendall Smith who had 26 points on nine of 13 shooting, including three of four from beyond the arc.  He’s been the best player for Northridge this season, averaging 16.2 points, 4.8 assists, and 4.2 rebounds.  Although Smith carried them, the whole team shot well on Wednesday, shooting 54% as a team.

The UC Davis Aggies are:

  • 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • 16-6 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games.

The Cal State Northridge Matadors are:

  • 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

While both teams have been equally good in the Big West thus far, Davis has been the better team all year.  They also have been a much better covering team than Northridge has, going an excellent 11-4 so far this season. Couple that with the trends listed above and you can see why I like UC Davis.  I think they respond well to the terrible game they played against Riverside.

Pick: UC Davis

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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