Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
NCAA Basketball: Saturday, January 14th, 8:30 pm EST
Line: Vanderbilt -4.5
Tennessee heads to Vanderbilt to take on the Commodores in a matchup of two teams who have basically had the same season. Tennessee is 8-8 overall and 1-3 in conference, while Vandy is also 8-8 overall, but are a game up in the SEC at 2-2. Both teams have about a +3 point differential, but Tennessee likes to score just a little bit more as they come in at 76.9 points per game while the Commodores average 72.8 points per game.
The teams are basically identical when it comes to covering spreads as well. Tennessee is 9-6 ATS overall and a sparkling 6-1 on the road. Not to be outdone, Vandy is 9-5-2 overall ATS, and 7-2 at home. Both teams like where they are at ATS heading into Saturday’s game.
Tennessee has lost three straight
Tennessee has lost three straight games in conference, to drop to 3-1 after winning their first game against 73-63 against Texas A & M. They lost by four to Arkansas, 13 to Florida, and 1o to South Carolina. Tennessee doesn’t have a problem scoring, but they can’t hold down the better offenses they have played. Rick Barnes will look to turn the season around with a win over Vandy.
On the season, despite scoring a lot of points, the Vols only shoot 43% as a team and under 32% from beyond the arc. As many shots as they get up a game, they should be averaging 80 points a game, easy. Senior Guard Robert Hubbs III has been their best player, putting up 14.6 points and 4.9 rebounds per game and shooting over 50%.
Vandy is 8-8 and 2-2 in conference
Vandy is about as .500 as you can get right now, with a .500 overall recorded and a .500 record in the SEC. They have lost two straight close ones after starting the season 2-0. Truth be told, their most recent loss might be their most impressive game of the year. They played Kentucky, ranked 6th in the nation, tough the whole game before falling just short 87-81.
They missed 21 of their 29 three pointers, and if they make only two or three more of those they may easily have won the game. Four starters had 16 points or more, and three of them finished with 19, so it was a very balanced Vandy team against Kentucky. That bodes well for the rest of the SEC schedule.
The Tennessee Volunteers are:
- 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Vanderbilt Commodores are:
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games.
This is a tough one to call. They are basically the same team, with both teams .500 overall but very solid against the spread. I’m going to lead towards Tennessee who is a great 6-1 ATS at home. They are also 10-3 ATS coming off big losses at home. Vandy has been lousy on Saturday’s as well for what that’s worth. Let’s take Tennessee on the road.