It’s a big SEC matchup on the parquet floor as a pair of programs collide in the Razorback State. The #8 Florida Gators are on the road as they make the trip to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday afternoon. Florida trampled #1 Tennessee 73-43 at home Tuesday night, covering the line as a three-point favorite. Arkansas fell 73-66 at home to #23 Ole Miss Wednesday, losing outright as a 3.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Gators own a 27-15 edge, including a 90-68 home win in the most recent matchup on January 13, 2024.
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Who will win this matchup? Read more about this Florida vs. Arkansas prediction!
Gators Look to Avoid Letdown
Florida took a bite out of #1 Tennessee at home Tuesday and looks to keep that momentum going here. The Gators improved to 14-1 overall and stand 1-1 in SEC play on the season as they take the floor here. Against Tennessee, Florida jumped to a 12-0 lead and didn’t look back. The Gators ran to a 34-15 lead at the half and didn’t look back from there. Florida led by as many as 36 points in the second half as they went on to the win. The Gators shot 39.7% from the field, including six of 20 from three-point range, and held Tennessee to a frigid 21.7% shooting in the contest. Alijah Martin led the Gators with 18 points and six rebounds in the win.
The Gators are above average offensively as they are 8th in the nation in scoring offense with an average of 87.3 points per game on the year. Florida averages 45.9 rebounds per contest (1st) and dishes out 16 assists per game. The Gators are solid defensively, ranking 40th by allowing 64.9 points per contest. Walter Clayton Jr. is one of four players averaging in double figures as he puts up 17.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game this season. Alijah Martin (16.1 points, 5.7 rebounds), Alex Condon (10.9 points, eight rebounds) and Will Richard (13.4 points, five rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Thomas Haugh, Denzel Aberdeen, Sam Alexis and Rueben Chinyelu are key pieces in Florida’s rotation this season for Todd Golden. The Gators shoot 47.2% from the field as a team this season. Florida knocks down an average of 9.6 triples a night while hitting 34.4% from beyond the arc. The Gators are decent at the charity stripe, shooting 72.4% as a team this season, which is 160th in the nation.
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Arkansas Seeking to Get Back on Track
Arkansas suffered a second straight loss to a ranked foe as they were beaten by #23 Ole Miss at home Wednesday night. The Razorbacks fell to 11-4 overall and 0-2 in the SEC as they try to avoid a three-game slide here. Against Ole Miss, Arkansas led 10-1 less than four minutes into the game only to find themselves tied at 33 at intermission. The Razorbacks gave up a 17-7 run to start the second half, leaving them down 50-40 with 14:23 to play, and never got closer than four the rest of the way. Arkansas shot 37.3% from the field, including five of 23 from three-point range, and allowed Ole Miss to shoot 46% in the game. Adou Thiero led the Razorbacks with 17 points and nine rebounds in the loss.
The Razorbacks are 81st in the nation in scoring offense as they put up 79.4 points per game on the season. Arkansas collects an average of 35.7 boards a contest while the team dishes out 16 assists per night. The Razorbacks are 63rd in the nation in scoring defense as they give up 66.7 points per game. Adou Thiero leads the team with 16.9 points plus 5.9 rebounds a game this season. Boogie Fland (15.5 points, 5.9 assists), Zvonimir Ivisic (7.9 points, 1.9 blocks) and Johnell Davis (8.9 points) each are solid offensive options. D.J. Wagner (10.5 points), Trevon Brazile, Billy Richmond III, Karter Knox and Jonas Aidoo are solid secondary options in the rotation for coach John Calipari. Arkansas is shooting 49.8% from the field as a team on the season, putting them 15th in the nation. The Razorbacks knock down an average of 7.7 three-pointers a game while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc. Arkansas has been above average at the charity stripe as they knock down 71.1% of their attempts this season.
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Best Bets for Florida vs. Arkansas
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Arkansas has dropped two straight games, losing to ranked opponents in Tennessee and Ole Miss. Meanwhile, we just saw Florida destroy Tennessee, although that game was in Gainesville while the Razorbacks’ loss came in Knoxville. With that said Arkansas did just lose at home to Ole Miss for their first home defeat of the season. The Razorbacks are just 1-4 against ranked opponents this season with their lone win a two-point triumph over Michigan on a neutral floor on December 10. Florida is clicking on all cylinders and they bounced back from their overtime defeat at Kentucky by throttling Tennessee. Look for the Gators to pick up the victory here to stake a claim to a top five spot in the rankings.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
We just saw Florida completely stifle Tennessee at home, showing how stingy they are defensively. The Gators are 16th in defensive efficiency, 5th in effective field goal percentage defense (42.6%), 8th in field goal percentage (37.4%), 15th in two-point defense (43.5%), 40th in scoring defense and 5th in three-point defense (27.4%) this season. Florida does play at a fast tempo, ranking 78th in adjusted tempo with 70.4 possessions a game. Arkansas is 32nd in defensive efficiency, 57th in effective field goal percentage defense (47.2%), 99th in forced turnover percentage (19%) and ninth in block percentage (16.8%) this season. Look for Florida to clamp down on the Arkansas shooters, helping push this game under the total.
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