Fordham (8-8 SU, 6-9 ATS, 0-3 A10) travels to North Carolina to take on Davidson (11-4 SU, 8-6 ATS, 1-1 A10) on Saturday afternoon at 2pmet from Belk Arena. Who will win this Fordham vs. Davidson prediction?
Last season, the Wildcats won two of three games, but the Fordham Rams beat Davidson in the Atlantic 10 tournament in overtime.
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Rams start out on wrong foot in conference play
The Rams won five straight games before starting Atlantic 10 play with Saint Louis, St. Bonaventure and VCU. Unfortunately, Fordham lost all three games including the most recent contest in Richmond against VCU on Tuesday 73-61. There was a water outage due to a snowstorm on Monday and the Rams' shooting came up dry as they made just 37% of their field goal attempts. Japhet Medor led the Rams with 19 points, six rebounds and four assists.
Fordham is missing guard Will Richardson (5.6ppg, 3.1apg), who has missed eight games for personal reasons. The Rams rank 228th overall according to KenPom and 230th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UNLV transfer guard Jackie Johnson leads the Rams with 17.8 points and 1.6 steals while shooting 44% from the field and 36.3% from beyond the arc. Medo adds 10.7 points and 3.6 assists with 1.6 steals, while shooting 38.1% from the field (34% 3pt).
The Rams allow 76 points per game on 46.9% shooting (334th) and 34.5% from beyond the arc. They average 74.4 points per game on 43.3% shooting (34.3% 3pt). They are also 230th in total rebounding percentage and 229th in assist-to-turnover ratio.
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Davidson wins three of four games
Davidson (105 KenPom) is cooking at home this season at 9-0, but 1-2 in true road games. After losing at Temple 62-61 on Dec. 18, they beat Bethune Cookman and Eastern Michigan before starting conference play. On Dec. 31, they fell at George Mason 69-57 to open up A-10 play and then came back to beat Duquesne 77-71 at home last Saturday. The Wildcats started the second half on a 20-6 run and never looked back. Reed Bailey led all scorers with 22 points and eight rebounds on 7-of-12 shooting, while Zach Laput added 17 points and four boards. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 51% from the field and 41% (9-of-22) from three-point range.
Bailey (6-10, 230) leads the Wildcats with 18.3 points and 6.7 rebounds while shooting 51.4% from the field (6-13 3pt). Guard Connor Kuchera adds 15.2 points and 3.0 assists on 53.6% shooting and 34% from long range.
Defensively, Davidson ranks 193rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency according to KenPom. The Wildcats allow 69.5 points per game on 44.1% shooting and 35.8% (309th) from long range. They average 76.3 points per game, while shooting 47.2% from the field and 37% from long range. They also rank 22nd in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio.
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Best Bets for Fordham vs. Davidson
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Fordham did cover the big number against VCU in their last game (+17), but that was under strange circumstances with no fans in a water outage. Davidson is coming off a strong win over Duquesne and they've handled their business in three of their last four home games against the spread (9-0 at home SU). The Rams' defense has also been dreadful and they don't hit the boards well enough to make up for their horrific defense (46.9% FG).
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Davidson is more methodical, but Fordham (60th AdjTempo) wants to fly up and down the court. Fordham has gone over in seven of their last nine games. They've allowed 82.8 points per game in their last five contests. Overall, the Rams are allowing 75 points per game and Davidson is shooting 50.7% from the field and 39.8% from three-point range at home.
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