A pair of SEC programs take the floor looking to pick up a victory do battle in the Magnolia State. The LSU Tigers are on the road as they travel to take on the #23 Ole Miss Rebels Saturday evening. LSU comes in off an 83-67 road loss to Missouri in their previous contest Tuesday night, failing to cover the line as a seven-point underdog. Ole Miss downed Arkansas 73-66 on the road in their previous game Wednesday night, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the schools, the Tigers own a 32-21 advantage, including an 89-80 home win in the most recent matchup January 17, 2024.
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Who will win this matchup? Read more about this LSU vs. Ole Miss prediction!
LSU Looking to Earn Road Win
LSU dropped their second straight as they were run out of the building by Missouri in their previous contest. The Tigers fell to 11-4 overall and stand 0-2 in the SEC on the season heading into this contest, hoping to turn things around. Against Missouri, LSU scored the game’s opening bucket but gave 12 of the next 14 points to trail 12-4. The Tigers didn’t get closer than five after that: they were down 15 at the half and never got closer than 12 the rest of the way. LSU shot 42.6% from the field, including eight of 20 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 37-29 in the game. Cam Carter led the way for the Tigers with 16 points in the loss.
The Tigers are putting up 82.3 points per game on the season, putting them 45th in the nation in scoring offense. LSU collects 39.9 rebounds per game (32nd) and dishes out an average of 14.3 assists per contest. The Tigers are below average defensively as they come in 118th in scoring defense by allowing 68.9 points per night. Cam Carter is leading the team with 17.2 points plus 4.1 rebounds per contest on the year. Jordan Sears (14 points, 3.7 rebounds), Jalen Reed (11.1 points, 6.5 rebounds) and Vyctorius Miller (10.7 points) are capable secondary scorers. Dji Bailey (10.2 points, 4.4 rebounds), Daimion Collins, Cory Chest, Curtis Givens III, Robert Miller III and Derek Fountain are all part of the rotation for Matt MacMahon’s Tigers. LSU shoots 48% from the field as a team on the year. The Tigers connect on 8.2 triples a night while shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc. LSU has been above average at the charity stripe, knocking down 74.1% of their chances this season, putting them 101st in the nation.
Reed (knee) suffered a torn ACL December 3 and is done for the year.
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Rebels Shooting for Third Straight Win
Ole Miss won their second straight game as they took down Arkansas on the road Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Rebels improved to 13-2 overall and stand 2-0 in the SEC as they take the floor here. Against Arkansas, Ole Miss trailed 10-1 early only to battle back to tie the game at 33 at the half. The Rebels opened the second half on a 17-7 run to take a 50-40 lead with 14:23 remaining and didn’t let the Razorbacks closer than four the rest of the way. Ole Miss shot 46% from the field, including nine of 23 from three-point range, and held Arkansas to only 37.3% from the floor in the contest. Malik Dia led the Rebels with 21 points and eight rebounds in the win.
The Rebels are averaging 79.1 points per contest on the year, which puts them 87th in the nation in scoring offense. Ole Miss is grabbing 35.3 rebounds per contest and dishes out 15.8 assists per game this season. The Rebels are 34th in the nation in scoring defense as they give up 63.6 points per contest. Ole Miss is led by Sean Pedulla, who puts up 14.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. Matthew Murrell (11.7 points, 3.3 rebounds) and Jaylen Murray (11.9 points, 4.1 assists) provide good secondary scoring. Dre Davis (10.7 points, 5.1 rebounds), Jaemyn Brakefield, Malik Dia, Davon Barnes, Mikeal Brown-Jones, Eduardo Klafke and John Bol are solid contributors for coach Chris Beard. Ole Miss shoots 45.2% from the field as a team on the year. The Rebels sink nine threes per game while shooting 35.7% from downtown, putting them 89th in Division I. Ole Miss is solid at the charity stripe, cashing in 72.9% of their attempts.
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Best Bets for LSU vs. Ole Miss
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
We’ve got a matchup here with a LSU team that played well in non-conference action but comes in off losses to Vanderbilt and Missouri. They have to contend with an Ole Miss squad that is 13-2 on the year with a neutral floor win over BYU. Their two losses were to Purdue on a neutral floor and Memphis on the road. Playing in Oxford, Ole Miss is a perfect 8-0 this season with each of those wins coming by at least 10 points. LSU has a pretty record but they are 8-0 in Quad IV games this season compared to a 0-3 mark in Quad I contests, losing by 11 to Pitt, by 10 to SMU, both on neutral floors, and by 16 at Missouri. Ole Miss is 4-2 in such situations and playing at home, you have to give them the advantage here.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
We’re looking at a contest where each team has been solid on the defensive end of the floor. LSU is 56th in defensive efficiency, 11th in effective field goal percentage defense (43.9%), 19th in field goal percentage defense (38.6%) and 11th in two-point defense (43.4%) this season. Ole Miss is 22nd in defensive efficiency, 46th in effective field goal percentage defense (46.7%), 14th in forced turnover percentage (22.6%), 42nd in field goal percentage (40%) and they force 15.6 turnoovers per contest. The Rebels are 200th in tempo with 68 possessions per game this season. Ole Miss hasn’t given up more than 68 points at home this season and that helps push this game under the total.
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