Massachusetts (UMASS) vs. George Mason Prediction and Picks - January 11, 2025

The Patriots have won 10 of their 11 home games while the Minutemen have lost three of their last four games. George Mason has the edge in this game because they shoot the ball well at home, making over 49 percent of their shots and 37 percent of their three-pointers, while the Minutemen make less than 40 percent of their shots on the road. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 72 percent of their free throws at home while the Minutemen make less than 70 percent of theirs on the road. They rebound the ball well and grab more than nine offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Minutemen a lot of easy-scoring chances. The Minutemen aren’t very good defensively and they’re giving up more than 77 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Patriots. Go with George Mason to cover the spread.

The Patriots played under the total in their last four games while the Minutemen played under the total in two of their last four games. George Mason averages 73.4 points per game. They play at the 282nd fastest pace in the country, averaging 68.6 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 75 points per game in their last three games. The Minutemen average 73.7 points per game. They play at the 53rd fastest pace in the country, averaging 74.1 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 57.9 points per game at home. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Minutemen and Patriots played under the total in two of their last three meetings.