Oregon State Beavers (12-5) vs. Pacific Tigers (6-13)
The college basketball betting action continues Saturday, January 11, 2025, with the Oregon State Beavers taking on the Pacific Tigers in the West Coast Conference showdown at Alex G. Spanos Center in Stockton, CA, with the tip-off at 10:00 PM ET.
Oregon State meets Pacific for the first time since 2009. The Beavers are favorites on the road, so let’s take a closer look at this clash to get you the best Oregon State vs. Pacific prediction.
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Oregon State is coming off a heartbreaking loss
The Oregon State Beavers are coming off Thursday’s 82-81 overtime defeat at Santa Clara. It was their third loss in five games, and the Beavers fell to 2-2 in the conference play. Oregon State erased a 12-point second-half deficit but couldn’t outlast the Broncos as 6.5-point road underdogs.
The Beavers made 44.4% of their field goals in Santa Clara. They went just 6-for-25 from downtown while posting a solid 19/10 assist-to-turnover ratio. Junior forward Parsa Fallah led the way with 24 points and seven rebounds, and fellow junior F Michael Rataj posted a 16-point, 10-rebound double-double.
Rataj tallies 16.6 points and 8.5 rebounds per game, while Fallah adds 11.6 points and 3.5 boards a night. The Beavers score 113.1 points per 100 possessions (55th in the nation) and surrender 101.7 points in return (104th). They are No. 66 in the NCAA NET Rankings.
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Pacific just stunned Washington State
The Pacific Tigers (1-4 Conf.) put an end to their nine-game losing streak last Thursday. They outlasted Washington State 95-94, playing as 15.5-point road underdogs. Junior guard Lamar Washington accounted for 40 points, including a game-winning 3-pointer with one second left in overtime.
The Tigers blew a double-digit lead at Beasley Coliseum before overcoming a five-point deficit in overtime. Pacific shot 55.2% from the field (8-for-23 from downtown) while posting a troublesome 11/16 assist-to-turnover ratio. The Tigers outscored the Cougars 54-30 in the paint.
Lamar Washington now tallies 12.7 points and 6.2 assists per game. He’s a part of the Tigers’ big three alongside junior guard Elijah Fisher (16.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG) and senior forward Elias Ralph (16.3 PPG, 7.2 RPG). The Tigers score 102.9 points per 100 possessions (221st in the country) while yielding 110.7 points in return (273rd). They are No. 291 in the NCAA NET Rankings.
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Best Bets for Oregon State vs. Pacific
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
The Tigers lack depth behind their big three. They are a bad defensive team that shoots just 28.3% from beyond the arc (341st in the nation). The Tigers’ rivals make 37.1% of their 3-pointers (319th), so I’m backing the Beavers to cover. Both teams had to play overtime last Thursday, and the Beavers arguably have more depth than Pacific.
Oregon State ranks 41st in the country in 3-point percentage (37.4%) and 48th in opposing 3-point percentage (30.0%). The Beavers make 36.8% of their 3-pointers in the conference play. They are a solid defensive team that executes its offense at a high level.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Although neither side plays at a fast pace, I will take the over on the total. The main reason is Pacific’s slumping defense. The Tigers have allowed 81 or more points in five of their previous seven games overall. They are 203rd in the country in pace (67.9 possessions per 40 minutes), while the Beavers rank 318th in this category (65.1).
The Beavers play at a slow pace, but they are a very dangerous 3-point shooting team. Oregon State has accounted for 80 or more points in four of its last six outings at any location.
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