The St. Mary’s Gaels (14-3, 6-10 ATS, 8-7-1 O/U) clash with the San Diego Toreros (4-13, 8-8 ATS, 6-10 O/U) in a WCC bout on Saturday evening. The Gaels recorded a road win against Loyola Marymount in their previous clash. The Toreros were dealt a defeat by Gonzaga on Wednesday. Saint Mary's went 2-0 against San Diego last season.
Can the Gaels remain undefeated in WCC play? Keep reading for the prediction.
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St. Mary's Eyes Fifth Straight Win
The St. Mary’s Gaels are targeting a fifth consecutive win. St. Mary’s is a contender in the WCC and has dominated early in conference play, winning all four games. This includes a dominating 81-58 win against Portland. Next, the Gaels recorded an 81-56 home win against Loyola Marymount on Tuesday in a bout that had them as 14.5-point favorites. The Gaels have covered the spread in three of their past five bouts.
Augustus Marciulionis is having an outstanding year. The senior guard sunk 23 points in the win against Loyola Marymount on Tuesday. Marciulionis has recorded an average of 14.5 PPG on 43% shooting. Paulius Murrauskas has been slumping recently, shooting below 40% in four of his past five games. The sophomore forward is outstanding in the defensive end and is averaging 12.5 PPG.
Mitchell Saxen has connected on 50% of his field goals in three of his past five bouts. The senior center is another elite rebounder, averaging 9.6 PPG along with 8.1 RPG. Jordan Ross scored six points on Tuesday evening. The sophomore guard has posted an average of 8.3 PPG.
The Gaels are ranked 435th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 2-0 on the road including a win against Utah in December. St. Mary’s is averaging 75.4 points on the season, ranking them 182nd. The Gaels have conceded 60 or fewer points in four of their past five games. They are keeping opponents to only 62.1 points, good for 15th.
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San Diego Covers in Loss vs. Gonzaga
The San Diego Toreros are eying their second conference win of the year. San Diego is having a disastrous season. They have struggled against everyone. The squad is 1-3 in conference play. The only conference win was a home victory against Pacific last month. They have since dropped bouts against Santa Clara, Oregon State, and were pelted with a 93-80 road defeat by Gonzaga on Wednesday. They were huge 34-point dogs in that one. The Toreros have covered in four of their past five bouts.
Kjay Bradley Jr. has been a bright spot. The junior guard has surpassed 20 points on five occasions this season. He scored 21 points on Wednesday and has generated an average of 15.7 PPG on 45% shooting on the year. Santiago Trouet is having a great season. The sophomore forward is averaging 9.9 PPG and 8.6 RPG.
Steven Jamerson II has scored double digits in two of his past five clashes. The senior center has issued 9.1 PPG on a sharp 59% mark from the field. Tony Duckett collected 10 points in the defeat against Gonzaga. The freshman guard has reported an average of 6.9 PPG.
San Diego is pegged 280th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and has won just four of its 11 home games on the year. San Diego is posting an average of 67.5 points, marking them 328th. The Toreros have conceded 80 or more in three of their past five bouts and are squandering an average of 74.5 points, pegging them 268th.
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Best Bets for Saint Mary's vs. San Diego
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are one of the best teams in the WCC. They have won all four conference games and five of their past six bouts. The San Diego Toreros are in a rebuilding season and are struggling to win games, dropping nine of their previous 10 bouts.
Furthermore, St. Mary’s is the better offensive squad here by a huge margin. They are averaging 114.8 points per 100 possessions, compared to only 96.3 points per 100 by the Toreros, pegging them 335th in DI in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Gaels are also superior defensively, conceding 8.1 fewer points per 100 possessions. Saint Mary’s is destroying the competition, winning by 10 or more points in four consecutive games. San Diego has lost by double digits in three of their past four bouts.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
I expect a barrage of scoring. St. Mary’s will exploit a weak defensive squad. The Toreros have conceded 81 or more points in three straight games including 93 points on Wednesday. St. Mary’s is piling on the points. They scored 81 last weekend and 80 points in the blowout win on Tuesday.
In addition, San Diego plays at a quick pace, ranking 42nd in adjusted tempo, and will contribute to this total as a result. They collected 80 points against Gonzaga on Wednesday. The Gaels are solid defensively but rank 158th in three-point defense. The over is 4-1 in the Gael's past five January bouts.
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