The Arizona Wildcats (9-5, 3-0 B12) will host the UCF Knights (11-3, 2-1 B12) in a Big 12 showdown on Saturday. Both teams are off to strong starts this season.
Check out our Arizona vs UCF prediction.
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UCF looking to prove themselves
The UCF Knights are ranked 76th in the KenPom ratings. They rank 86th in defensive rating and 93rd in offensive rating. The Knights’ big wins this season include victories over Texas A&M, FAU, and Texas Tech. Their three losses came against Wisconsin, LSU, and Kansas. The Kansas loss was particularly embarrassing, with a 99-48 defeat on their home floor. However, UCF bounced back with a close 75-64 home win over Colorado on Wednesday.
Keyshawn Hall leads UCF with 15.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, followed by Jordan Iv-Curry (15.4 ppg) and Darius Johnson (14.7 ppg). Johnson also leads the team with 4.0 assists and 3.0 steals per game.
UCF is second in the Big 12 averaging 78.5 ppg and shooting 77.3% from the free-throw line. As impressive as the scoring has been, the Knights also allow 76.4 ppg, which is more than any other team in the conference allows.
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Arizona looks to stay undefeated in Big 12
The Arizona Wildcats are ranked 13th in the nation by KenPom. They rank 15th in offensive rating and 21st in defensive rating. Arizona won its fifth straight game on Tuesday, defeating West Virginia 75-66 on the road to remain undefeated in the Big 12. The conference win over the Mountaineers avenged an 83-76 non-conference overtime tournament loss the Wildcats suffered to West Virginia earlier this season. Arizona’s other losses this season came against Wisconsin, Duke, Oklahoma, and UCLA.
Arizona is seventh in the conference, averaging 75 ppg, but only 15th amongst the 16 teams knocking down 31.3% from three-point range. Leading Arizona in scoring is Caleb Love with 15.8 ppg. Tobe Awaka leads the team with 7.3 rebounds per game and also averages 7.4 ppg. On defense the Wildcats are 10th in the Big 12 allowing 67.7 ppg.
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Best Bets for UCF vs. Arizona
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Arizona has the home-court advantage, but the 15-point spread is disrespectful to UCF. The Wildcats are off coming back-to-back road victories, and with Baylor coming up later this week, this could be a letdown spot for Arizona. As for UCF, this is a huge chance to prove themselves against a strong opponent on the road. Arizona has struggled with its outside shooting this season, and I see UCF keeping this with 12 points.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
With Arizona 60th in adjusted tempo and Baylor 61st, we know this game will be played fast and in the style each team is comfortable with. Expect plenty of possessions, shot attempts, and for a lot of points to be put on the board with the clock stopped. UCF is 27th in the country in free throw attempts and 30th in free throw percentage, while Arizona is 68th in free throw attempts per game and 77th in percentage. Take the over.
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