The UNLV Rebels (9-6, 4-10-1 ATS, 7-8 O/U) meet the Colorado State Rams (9-6, 6-9 ATS, 7-8 O/U) in an MWC clash on Saturday afternoon. The Rebels were hit with a road defeat against Boise State in their previous bout. The Rams earned a home win against Fresno State. Each squad posted a home win in last year's season series.
Can Colorado State extend its winning streak? Check out the Rebels vs. Rams prediction.
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UNLV Seeks Rebound After Blowout Defeat
The UNLV Rebels are seeking their 10th conference win of the season. UNLV is a solid squad. They recently won four games in a row including a victory in their opening three MWC bouts. This includes a home win against San Jose State last weekend. Next, the Rebels were dealt an ugly 81-59 road loss against Boise State on Tuesday in a bout that had the Rebels as 8.5-point dogs. The Rebels have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Dedan Thomas Jr. is having a solid season but can be inconsistent. The sophomore guard has scored 15 or fewer points in three of his past five games including 10 in the defeat against Boise State. Thomas Jr. has recorded an average of 15.9 PPG on the season. Jaden Henley has sunk at least 50% of his field goals in four of his past six bouts. The junior guard is averaging 11.3 PPG on 48% shooting.
Jailen Bedford has been a threat, amassing 11 or more in four straight clashes. The senior guard has issued an average of 11.1 PPG. Julian Rishwain has been kept to single digits in four of his past five games. The senior guard is posting an average of 9.1 PPG.
The Rebels are ranked 100th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stand at 1-3 on the road including a loss against Dayton and a win against Air Force. UNLV is averaging 72.5 points on the season, ranking them 250th. The Rebels are conceding an average of 70.3 points, placing them 155th.
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Colorado State Seeks Third Straight Win
The Colorado State Rams struggled a bit in non-conference play but are certainly enjoying a promising opening few weeks to MWC play. Colorado State stands at 3-1 in MWC action. The only conference defeat was a home loss against New Mexico last month. The Rams collected a dominating 91-64 home win against Fresno State on Tuesday to cover the huge 15.5-point spread. The Rams have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Nique Clifford is having an outstanding season and is one of the best players in the MWC. The senior guard collected 22 points in a win against San Jose State last week and is a beast defensively. Clifford has generated an average of 16.6 PPG complemented by 10.3 RPG. Jalen Lake has been shaky recently, shooting 40% or below in four of his past five bouts. The senior guard sunk five points in the recent win and has netted an average of 12.8 PPG.
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson was key in the win this week, accumulating 20 points. The sophomore forward has yielded an average of 8.6 PPG. Kyan Evans has scored 10 or more points in four of his past five performances. The sophomore guard is averaging 8.1 PPG.
The Rams are placed 89th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stand at 5-3 on their home court including a victory against Denver and a defeat against UC Irvine. Colorado State is scoring an average of 74.1 points, marking them 225th. The Rams have conceded 68 or fewer points in four of their past five games and are keeping opponents to 68.7 points, positioning them 110th.
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Best Bets for UNLV vs. Colorado State
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
The UNLV Rebels are a competitive group but are only 1-3 on the road. The Colorado State Rams have momentum, winning four of their past five games, and have been dealt just one conference loss. They have also won three of their past four home games.
Furthermore, the Rams are the superior defensive squad. The Rebels are conceding 104.4 points per 100 possessions compared to only 98.7 points per 100 by the Rams, placing them 55th in all of DI. The Rams are playing sharp defense, conceding an average of only 63 points in four conference games. Colorado State is winning easily. Four of the Rams' past five wins have been by 10 or more points.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
I expect points to be at a premium. UNLV was kept to 59 points against a good defensive Boise State squad in their previous game. They have only averaged 66 points on the road this season. The Rams are another solid defensive squad that poses a big challenge, keeping opponents to 41.4% shooting.
In addition, these squads play at a slower pace. UNLV is marked 280th in DI in adjusted tempo while Colorado State is placed 205th. Colorado State rarely posts big numbers and relies on its defense. They are shooting a weak 31.1% from beyond the arc. The under is 4-1 in the Ram's past five Saturday home games.
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