Valparaiso (Valpo) vs. Missouri State Prediction and Picks - January 11, 2025

Author: Bosun Akinpelu Last Updated: January 10, 2025 Game Start: 4:00pm EST

The Valparaiso Beacons (10-6, 3-2 MVC) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they face the Murray State Racers (9-7, 3-2 MVC) on Saturday afternoon. The game will be played at CFSB Center, and it is scheduled to begin at 4 PM. ET.

The Beacons are coming off a 98-95 win over Indiana State as 1.5-point favorites. The Racers are coming off a 71-68 win over Northern Iowa as five-point underdogs.

Murray State is 5-3 in eight games against Valparaiso.

Which team picks up the win? Read more in this Valparaiso Beacon vs. Murray State Racers prediction.

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Valparaiso Going For Fourth Consecutive Win

The Beacons bounced back from their loss to Bradley with three straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight win when they face the Racers on Saturday.

Valparaiso averages 80.7 points per game. They scored 98 points in their last game, making 46.8 percent of their field goals and 44.4 percent of their three-pointers.

All Wright led the Beacons with 25 points and four rebounds. Cooper Schwieger finished with 23 points and eight rebounds, while Tyler Schmidt added 23 points and seven rebounds.

Valparaiso has struggled defensively, giving up 73.8 points per game. They gave up 95 points in their last game and will need a better performance if they want to win this game.

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Murray State Going For Third Consecutive Win

The Racers followed up their loss to Illinois State with wins over Drake and Northern Iowa. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Saturday.

Murray State averages 75.2 points per game. They scored 71 points in their last game, making 55.8 percent of their field goals and 57.1 percent of their three-pointers.

Terence Harcum led the Racers with 14 points. JaCobi Wood finished with 11 points and six assists, while Alden Applewhite added 11 points and four rebounds.

Murray State has played well defensively, giving up 68.7 points per game. They gave up 68 points in their last game and will need a similar effort if they want to get the win.

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Best Bets for Valparaiso (Valpo) vs. Missouri State

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Racers have won three of their last four games while the Beacons split their last four road games. Murray State has the edge in this game because they are shooting the ball well, making over 50 percent of their shots in their last three games while the Beacons make 40 percent of their shots on the road. They rebound the ball well and grab more than nine offensive rebounds per game at home, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Beacons a lot of easy-scoring chances. The Beacons aren’t very good defensively and they’re giving up more than 82 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Racers in this game. Go with Murray State to cover the spread.

Prediction: Murray State Racers to cover.

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Beacons played over the total in their last four games while the Racers played over the total in four of their last five games. Valparaiso averages 80.7 points per game. They play at the 124th fastest pace in the country, averaging 72.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 0.8 points per game. The Racers average 75.2 points per game. They play at the 255th fastest pace in the country, averaging 69.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 82.2 points per game on the road. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Beacons and Racers played over the total in five of their last six meetings.

Prediction: Over
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Author Profile

Bosun Akinpelu , "Bosun Akinpelu"

Bosun is very passionate about sports and he feels bad to get paid for doing this, but we here at Winners and Whiners are glad to have him as a part of the team. As someone who minored in Mathematics, Bosun has a lot of faith in numbers and will make his picks based on stats and not emotions. He has been successfully picking and betting on winners for quite some time, so if you want to crush the books, then stick with Bosun.