It’s an ACC contest on the hardwood in an incongruous spot as the teams meet up in the Golden State looking to earn a win. The Virginia Cavaliers are on the road as they make the long, cross-country trek to take on the Stanford Cardinal Saturday afternoon. Virginia was beaten 75-61 on the road by Cal in their previous game Wednesday night, failing to cover the line as a four-point underdog. Stanford dumped Virginia Tech 70-59 at home Wednesday night, covering the line as a nine-point favorite, in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the schools, the Cardinal own a 7-1 advantage and have won the last three meetings, including an 81-60 home victory in the most recent matchup November 18, 2010.
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Who will win this matchup? Read more about this Virginia vs. Stanford prediction!
Virginia Looking to Earn Road Win Far From Home
Virginia dropped their second straight as they were downed on the road by Cal Wednesday night in their previous game. The Cavaliers stumbled to 8-7 overall and stand 1-3 in the ACC on the season with the loss. Against Cal, Virginia led by eight five minutes into the game only to trail by three at intermission. The Cavaliers started the second half flat, giving up an 8-0 run to trail 43-32, and never got closer than nine the rest of the way. Virginia shot just 32.8% from the field, including seven of 23 from three-point range, and lost the battle of the boards 40-33. Andrew Rohde paced Virginia with 14 points, four rebounds and six assists in the loss.
The Cavaliers come into this game putting up an average of 61.3 points a game this season, which is 360th in the nation. Virginia grabs 31.3 boards a night while dishing out an average of 14.3 assists per contest. The Cavaliers are stifling defensively: they enter this contest 16th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing a measly 62.4 points per game. Isaac McKneely is second on the team with 11.7 points per game this season. Jacob Cofie (8.1 points, 5.5 rebounds) and Elijah Saunders (12.1 points, 5.3 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Dai Dai Ames, Blake Buchanan, TJ Power, Ishan Sharma, Taine Murray, Anthony Robinson, Andrew Rohde, Desmond Roberts and Bryce Walker all log key minutes for Ron Sanchez’s squad. The Cavaliers shoot 43% from the field as a team on the year. Virginia connects on 7.8 triples per game this season while sinking 36.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc, which is 73rd in the nation. The Cavaliers have been above average at the charity stripe, hitting 74.6% at the line so far this season, putting them 88th in the nation.
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Cardinal Seeking Back-to-Back Wins
Stanford snapped a three-game slide as they downed Virginia Tech at home Wednesday night in their previous game. The Cardinal improved to 10-5 overall and sit 2-2 in ACC action on the year. Against Virginia Tech, Stanford trailed 16-4 midway through the first half before cutting the margin to five at intermission. The Cardinal led by six with 14:06 to play and found themselves even at 56 with 5:35 to go before a strong finishing kick. Stanford outscored Virginia Tech 14-3 the rest of the way to secure the victory. The Cardinal shot 44.2% from the field, including nine of 24 from three-point range, and owned a 36-25 advantage on the glass in the victory. Maxime Raynaud (14 rebounds) and Oziyah Sellers each had 19 points to lead Stanford in the win.
The Cardinal is averaging 76.4 points per game on the season, putting them 150th in the nation in scoring offense. Stanford is collecting an average of 35.6 rebounds per contest while they dish out 14.3 assists a night on the season. The Cardinal is average on the defensive end of the floor as they allow an average of 71.1 points a contest, putting them 181st in the country in scoring defense. Maxime Raynaud leads the team offensively as he puts up 20.7 points and 11.6 rebounds per game. Jaylen Blakes (14.8 points, 5.3 assists) and Oziyah Sellers (14.1 points) are solid secondary scoring options. Ryan Agarwal, Benny Gealer, Chisom Okpara, Aidan Cammann and Anthony Batson Jr. are valuable role players for coach Kyle Smith. Stanford is shooting 43.8% from the field as a team this season. The Cardinal is connecting on 8.3 three-pointers a night this season while shooting 33.2% from beyond the arc. Stanford is above average at the charity stripe as they convert 76.1% of their attempts at the line on the year, which is 53rd in the country.
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Best Bets for Virginia vs. Stanford
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Virginia, even without Tony Bennett, continues to try and follow the same blueprint: pack line defense and hoping that they can squeeze out enough offense to earn wins in the ACC. Itâs not working as well for Sanchez as the Cavaliers are the fifth-worst scoring offense in the nation and own a negative point differential on the season. We saw them struggle at Cal in their previous game and they now have to deal with a Stanford team that has a force in the low block in Raynaud who is going to be tough for Virginia to hold in check. The Cardinal are at home and they have a better offense than Virginia: look for them to earn the victory here to sweep the schools from the Old Dominion.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Donât expect a ton of points in this contest as Virginia doesnât score much and they donât give up a ton either. The Cavaliers have scored more than 70 points just once this season: they hung 74 on Manhattan back in late November. They hit 70 points exactly twice but have been held under 60 points five times already this season. Virginia plays at the second-slowest tempo in the nation with only 61 possessions a night. Stanford doesnât run and gun either, ranking 214th in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 67.6 possessions a night. It likely doesnât take more than 65 points or so to win here so lean toward the under in this contest.
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