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VCU vs. Dayton,
1-12-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#823 VCU
Rams
#824 Dayton
Flyers

Friday, January 12, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

VCU Rams

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Dayton Flyers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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VCU Rams (11-6; 7-6 ATS; 6-7 O/U) vs. Dayton Flyers (8-8; 7-9 ATS; 8-7 O/U)

Line: Dayton -2.5

Total: 146.5

The Dayton Flyers will aim for their second straight win when they host the VCU Rams in an A10 battle Friday night from the University of Dayton Arena. The Rams recorded a 78-67 home win over Duquesne in their latest action,  and the Flyers notched an 87-80 road win over Richmond on Tuesday night. VCU won the first meeting by a 73-68 score last season, and Dayton answered with a 79-72 win in the second meeting.

Rams Rally for Third A10 Victory

The VCU Rams played outstanding defense in their 78-67 home win against Duquesne on Tuesday night to improve to 3-1 in A10 play. The Rams posted a 44% clip from the field and limited the Dukes to a 38% shooting performance. Issac Vann played well in the win, collecting 15 points on a 5 for 8 mark from the field and added five boards. The 6-foot-6 sophomore forward has scored at least 13 points in three straight games and is now averaging 11.2 points per game on a 43.3% field goal percentage. Rams’ top scorer Justin Tillman chipped in with a 10 point effort to go with 17 rebounds for his seventh double-double of the season in Tuesday’s win. The 6-foot-8 senior forward has reached 20 points in eight out of his last 11 games and is currently posting 17.7 points and 9.5 rebounds per game.

The Rams have won six of their last seven games and their lone A10 loss was an 87-81 OT road loss to St. Joseph’s. They are placed at 97th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings. They are currently averaging 78.1 points per game, ranking the 100th overall. They are holding opponents to an average of 73.8 points, positioning them 216th overall.

Dayton Records First Road Win of Season

The Dayton Flyers had their shots falling in their 87-80 road win over Richmond on Tuesday to even their A10 record at 2-2. The Flyers shot a sizzling 63% from the field, and limited Richmond to a 41% clip. Josh Cunningham played a key role in the victory, sinking 20 points on a perfect 8 for 8 performance from the field. The junior forward has shot at least 54% in four of his last five games and stands second in team scoring with 15.8 points on a dazzling 69% field goal efficiency. Flyers’ leading scorer Darrell Davis collected 17 points on 50% shooting in the Flyers win over Richmond. The senior guard has had some big performances this season, and he is a threat from deep. Davis is now averaging 17 points per game.

The Flyers are having an inconsistent season and they have yet to win consecutive games at any point this season. They rely heavily on their top two scorers and will need more secondary scoring similar going forward. Dayton is ranked at 138th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s College Basketball Rankings. They are scoring an average of 71.6 points per game, ranking the 246th overall. They are allowing an average of 70.7 points, positioning them 139th overall.

Trends:

The VCU Rams are:

  • 10-3 ATS in their last 13 Friday games.
  • the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between VCU and Dayton.

The Dayton Flyers are:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
  • 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite between 0.5 and 6.5 points.

I am siding with VCU in this matchup. VCU is the much stronger offensive team, and they feature strong scoring depth, plus their offense has been very consistent throughout the season. Opponents are shooting just under 37% from three-point territory against Dayton, and they just conceded 81 points against a very low-scoring Richmond team, so I anticipate a productive night from VCU. Dayton has also been inconsistent this season, and they do not have the amount of firepower VCU has.

Pick: VCU Rams

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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