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The West Virginia Mountaineers will host the Oklahoma State Cowboys in a BIG 12 battle Saturday afternoon from the WVU Coliseum. The Cowboys are coming off a 61-58 home win over Texas, and the Mountaineers were edged 71-69 against Kansas State in their previous game. Each team notched a road win in last year’s two-game season-series.
Cowboys Record First Big 12 Victory
The Oklahoma State Cowboys snapped a two-game slide with a solid 61-58 home win against Texas on Tuesday to improve to 1-2 in Big 12 play. The Cowboys, who were three point underdogs, only shot 37% against Texas, while holding the Longhorns to 41.8% shooting. Lindy Waters III led the way offensively with 19 points and nine rebounds in the winning effort. The junior guard is a big threat from beyond the arc where he features a 42% efficiency, and he stands second in team scoring with 11.7 PPG.
Cowboys’ top scorer Cameron McGriff contributed with 12 points on 5 for 10 shooting in Tuesday’s triumph. The junior forward is only shooting 39% on the season, however his defensive presence is very valuable. McGriff is averaging 13.1 PPG and 8 RPG on the season.
— Cowboy Basketball (@OSUMBB) January 10, 2019
The Cowboys are currently ranked at 82nd overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. They stand at 0-4 on the road this season which included a 74-64 loss to Big 12 rival Oklahoma. Oklahoma State is not a high-scoring team, averaging only 69.5 points on the season, placing them down at 286th overall. They rely on their defense to win games, and the Cowboys are holding opponents to an average of 68.9 points, positioning them 116th in the nation.
Mountaineers Fall to K-State in Third Straight Defeat
The West Virginia Mountaineers are still searching for that elusive first conference win of the season. They allowed a large lead to evaporate in a 71-69 road loss to Kansas State on Wednesday. The Mountaineers recorded a 45% efficiency from the field, while Kansas State was able to sink 47% of their shots. Lamont West led the way offensively with 21 points on 6 for 13 shooting in the defeat. The junior forward has eclipsed 20 points in two out of his last three games, and he is now averaging 11.5 points on 40% shooting.
Esa Ahmad is scuffling, scoring only a combined 25 points in his last three games. The senior forward owns a decent 46% field goal percentage, and he stands second in team scoring with 13.1 PPG. WVU’s scoring leader Sagaba Konate (13.6 PPG) remains out of the lineup with a knee injury.
The Mountaineers are currently placed 56th in the nation in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they hold a 6-2 home record. WVU has dropped decisions to Texas and Texas Tech in their first two conference games. They are scoring an average of 75.6 points on the season, ranking them 143rd overall. The Mountaineers are conceding an average of 71.5 points, positioning them 184th in the country.
The West Virginia Mountaineers are:
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- 4-15-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against a team with a losing road record.
- 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are:
- the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between OK State and WVU.
- under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games following an ATS win.
- under is 23-8-1 in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking Oklahoma State in this battle. West Virginia has lost their first three conference games, and they have only averaged 60.7 points in that three-game span. They are also playing without their leading scorer Sagaba Konate which has impacted their offensive production.
Furthermore, Oklahoma State is coming off a solid 61-58 home win against a strong Texas team, and their outstanding defense should contain the Mountaineers. The Cowboys have allowed an average of only 65 points in their last four games, and I expect them to neutralize WVU in this one.
Prediction: Oklahoma State
Full-Game Total Pick
This game should be a low-scoring battle. Both teams are struggling in the offensive end, and both teams are playing effective defense. The Cowboys have allowed 69 or fewer points in three out of their last four games, and the under is 7-0-1 in their last eight conference games.
In addition, the Mountaineers have only conceded an average of 64.7 points in their three ACC games on the season. The under is 18-7-1 in OK State’s last 26 games overall, and I expect the over to cash again in this one.
Full-Game Prop Bet
I am confident the Cowboys can contain the Mountaineers offense. West Virginia is struggling in the absence of their scoring leader Sagaba Konate, and OK State is playing outstanding defense. They are holding opponents to 40.5% shooting, and WVU is shooting a weak 42.6% on the season.
Prediction: West Virginia Team Total: Under
Half-Time Side Pick
I am staying with OK State on the halftime line. West Virginia has not been productive in the first half recently where they are only averaging 28 points in their last three games. Also, Oklahoma State is averaging a solid 35 points in the first half this season.
Prediction: Oklahoma State