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The Georgetown Hoyas will host the Providence Friars in a Big East battle Saturday afternoon from the Capital One Arena. The Friars fell 65-59 against Villanova in their previous contest, and the Hoyas are coming off an 81-75 road loss to Xavier on Wednesday night. The Friars defeated the Hoyas in both meetings last season.
Providence Searching for First Big East Victory
The Providence Friars are hunting for their first conference win of the season. They tipped-off Big East play with a 79-68 loss to Creighton, followed by a 65-59 home loss to Villanova in their latest action last Saturday. The Friars shot an abysmal 34.5% from the field, while Villanova posted a 45% clip. Friars’ leading scorer Alpha Diallo wasn’t at his best in the loss, collecting 10 points along with seven rebounds. The junior guard has scored at least 18 points in three out of his last four games, and he is now averaging 16.9 PPG and 8.5 RPG on the season.
Isaiah Jackson is stuck in a slump, converting on only 4 of 21 field goals for a combined 13 points in his last two games. The senior guard has seen his shooting percentage drop to 39% to go with an average of 9.6 PPG. A.J. Reeves (14.2 PPG) remains out of the lineup until late January.
— PC Men's Basketball (@PCFriarsmbb) January 5, 2019
The Friars are ranked 71st in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. They have won their only two true road games of the season which included a 71-65 win against Texas. Providence is having an inconsistent season from an offensive point of view, and they are now averaging 73.7 points, ranking them 187th overall. They are allowing an average of 68.1 points, placing them 100th in the country.
Hoyas Defense Falters in Second Straight Loss
The Georgetown Hoyas will attempt to snap a two-game slide in this one. They lost in overtime to St. John’s paired with an 81-75 road loss to Xavier on Wednesday night in a game that had the Hoyas as 4 point underdogs. The Hoyas only converted on 43% of their shot attempts, while Xavier was able to sink 46% of their field goals. Hoyas’ top scorer Jessie Govan was outstanding in the losing cause, amassing 27 points on an 11 for 17 shooting performance. The senior center is red-hot, accumulating a combined 52 points in his last two games, and he is up to 19.2 PPG on a 54% efficiency from the field.
James Akinjo continues to struggle, going a combined 7 for 27 from the field in his last three games. The freshman guard does draw several fouls, and he is currently averaging 14.1 points on an 82% efficiency from the free-throw line.
— Georgetown Hoops (@GeorgetownHoops) January 10, 2019
The Hoyas are currently positioned at 96th in the nation in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they stand at 8-2 on their home court. Georgetown’s offense has been a strength this season, and they are now averaging 82.8 points, ranking them 28th in the country. The Hoyas defense has been questionable at times, and they are conceding an average of 77.2 points, placing them down at 297th overall.
The Georgetown Hoyas are:
- 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the BIG East.
- 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning road record.
The Providence Friars are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Georgetown.
- 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am siding with Providence in this contest. Georgetown has lost two straight games against St. John’s and Xavier, and their defense has been an issue for most of the season. The Hoyas have squandered an average of 84.7 points in their three conference games on the season.
Furthermore, Providence has won both of their road games this season against Boston College and Texas in two games that had the Friars as the underdog. Also, Providence is the better defensive team in this matchup. They have allowed 65 or fewer points in four out of their last five games.
Prediction: Providence Friars
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a solid option in this one. The Hoyas are playing shaky defense as they have conceded an average of 83 points in their last five games, and the over is 22-5 in their last 27 games overall.
In addition, while I expect the Friars to at least contain Georgetown, the Hoyas have reached at least 84 points in four out of their last five games, plus they are on their home court. The over is 16-5 in the Hoyas’ last 21 home games, and I expect that trend to continue in this one.
Full-Game Prop Bet
The under on the Georgetown team total is a solid play. The Friars just limited Villanova to only 65 points in their previous contest, and they are holding opponents to 42.3% shooting on the season. Also, the Friars were able to limit Texas to 65 points in their previous road game, and I am confident they can neutralize Georgetown in this one.
Prediction: Georgetown Team Total: Under
Half-Time Total Bet
I am sticking with the over on the first half total. Both teams are productive in the opening half. The Friars are averaging 36.1 points, and the Hoyas stand 42nd in the country with an average of 38.3 points. I expect plenty of offense from start to finish.