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Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#743 Troy
Trojans 148
#744 Arkansas State
Red Wolves 148

Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 5:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Troy Trojans

8 - 7

5-8
ATS
8-5
O/U
75
PPG
72
OPPG

Arkansas State Red Wolves

8 - 8

6-8
ATS
6-8
O/U
74
PPG
76
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Troy and Arkansas State meet up in Sun Belt action. Both teams are trying to get out of mediocrity. Troy has lost two of three games, while Arkansas State has won three of four games.

Troy falls to Little Rock on big second half run

Troy led Little Rock, 29-27 at the half and the game was tied at 37-all with 16:35 left in the game. But the Little Rock Trojans went on a 29-12 run to put the game away. Jordon Varnado led Troy Trojans with 26 points and 11 rebounds, but also had eight turnovers. When you look at why Troy lost, it comes down to committing 23 turnovers, while Little Rock had 13. Troy also dished out just seven assists so that’s a putrid assist-to-turnover ratio. Troy also shot 38.3 percent from the field, 4-of-20 from beyond the arc but did shoot 19-of-26 from the line (73.1%).

Varnado leads the Trojans with 18.6 points per game and in blocks with 1.1. Troy averages 75.8 points per game on 46.5 percent shooting (32.6% 3pt). They allow 72.7 points per game on 42.8 percent shooting (37.1% 3pt). They are outrebounding teams by 4.2 per game.

Cockfield leads Red Wolves over USA

Ty Cockfield scored 22 points and hit two free throws with three seconds left to lead Arkansas State over South Alabama on Thursday. The Red Wolves outrebounded USA by 12, shot 44.9 percent from the floor and shot 20-of-26 from the line. But they also struggled with 16 turnovers and shot just 2-of-13 from beyond the arc, while the Jaguars made 8-of-26 from three-point range. Marquis Eaton added 18 points on 7-of-14 shooting for the Red Wolves.

https://twitter.com/AStateMB/status/1083773713554669568

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Arkansas State is 6-0 at home this season and they aren’t laying points. Troy is 2-4 on the road and they are allowing 76 points per game on the road compared to 43.7 percent overall. Arkansas State is allowing just 69 points per game at home compared to 79.1 points per game overall, so they are a different team at home.

Prediction: Arkansas State pk

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Arkansas State has gone over in two of their last three games. They are 5-1 Over their last 6 vs. Troy and 4-1 Over the last 5 at home vs. Troy. The Trojans are 8-3 Over their last 11 after an ATS loss. Arkansas State is 19-7 Over their last 26 vs. the Sun Belt.

Prediction: Over 148

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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