Baylor Bears (11-5 SU, 5-4 ATS, 2-6-1 O/U) vs. Iowa State Cyclones (9-6 SU, 4-8-1 ATS, 9-4 O/U)
NCAAB: Saturday, January 13, 2018 at 3:00 p.m. EST
The Line: Baylor Bears -3. Total: 138.5
The Iowa State Cyclones will be eager to halt a four-game losing streak when they host the Baylor Bears at Hilton Coliseum on Saturday afternoon. Iowa State is coming off consecutive setbacks against Kansas State, Texas, Oklahoma State, and Kansas. The Bears are 1-3 in their last four contests after falling at West Virginia on Tuesday.
Coming off a stellar performance in a respectable 57-54 road loss to second-ranked West Virginia earlier this week, Baylor has actually played much better than its Big 12 record would indicate. All of the Bears’ losses have come against ranked teams, but it is time they got out of the business of moral victories and pick up a much-needed win when Iowa State hosts them on Saturday. In conference games, Baylor leads the league in opponents’ shooting percentage (40.4). In a close contest the entire way against the Mountaineers, the Bears had a chance to tie it in the waning seconds but Manu Lecomte’s three-pointer as time expired was off the mark.
“We know we can play with anybody in the country,” head coach Scott Drew commented. “There are no moral victories, and you don’t feel good after losses, but I do feel good about how our team competed and the leadership of our players.… Until we can take care of the basketball, you’re not going to beat quality teams with 21 turnovers.”
Iowa State returns home after dropping a fourth straight game and falling to 0-4 in the Big 12 with a somewhat encouraging 83-78 setback at Kansas on Tuesday. The Cyclones managed to keep things competitive from start to finish thanks in part to 27 points from freshman guard Lindell Wigginton.
Senior guard Donovan Jackson drained six three-pointers for a school-record third straight game and finished with 20 points against the Jayhawks. Cameron Lard contributed 15 points and 10 rebounds in just his second start of the 2017-18 campaign. Jackson (16.9 ppg, 53 three-pointers) is 39-of-42 from the free-throw line–leading the Big 12 and good for sixth in the nation at 92.9 percent. Wigginton is 11th in scoring in the Big 12, including second among freshmen, averaging 15.6 points and shooting 41.4 percent behind the arc. Nick Weiler-Babb (12.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 7.5 apg) had 13 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists against Kansas one game after coming up a rebound shy of a triple-double in an overtime loss to the Sooners. Weiler-Babb is sixth in the nation in assists.
The Baylor Bears are:
- 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games
- 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with winning home records
- 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams with home winning percentages over .600
The Iowa State Cyclones are:
- 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 overall
- 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games
- 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a loss
The Bears held West Virginia to 31 percent shooting in their showdown earlier this week and the Mountaineers’ were limited to their season-low point total. Lecomte (16.5 ppg, 41.5 percent on three-pointers) had 13 points and six rebounds, while Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. (15.8 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.2 blocks per game) finished with 11 points, 10 rebounds, and five blocks. Baylor is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 on the road, 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 on the road against opponents with winning home records, and 14-6 ATS in its last 20 on the road against opponents with home winning percentages over .600. The Cyclones are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 overall, 1-3-1 ATS in their last five at home, and 1-4 ATS in their last five following a loss. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.
Pick: Baylor Bears -3
Weiler-Babb is running an extremely efficient offensive show for Iowa State. He is on pace to record a 200-point, 200-rebound, 200-assist season. The only other player in Big 12 history to accomplish the feat is former Cyclone All-American DeAndre Kane in 2013-14. Wigginton is one of three freshmen nationally averaging 15 points and shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc. The over is 5-1 in the Bears’ last six against winning opponents. It is also 23-6 in the Cyclones’ last 29 overall, 5-0 in their last five at home, 5-1 in their last six against winning opponents, 22-5 in their last 27 against opponents with winning percentages over .600, 4-0 in their last four at home against opponents with losing road records, 20-7 in their last 27 against the Big 12, and 4-0 in their last four following a loss. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the two teams and 6-1 ATS in Baylor’s last seven trips to Iowa State. Look for this one to go over the total.