Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5399 Arkansas vs.
#5400 LSU
Wednesday, January 13, 2021 at 7:00pm EST
Written by David Delano

The LSU Tigers host the Arkansas Razorbacks Wednesday in an SEC showdown. LSU is 3-1 in the SEC and coming off of a 75-61 win over Ole Miss as a 2.5 point dog on Saturday. The Razorbacks played on Saturday as well and routed Georgia 99-69 as a nine-point favorite. Arkansas is now 2-2 in the SEC.

Razorbacks rout the Georgia Bulldogs

Arkansas was selected to finish sixth in the SEC this season, according to three-man-weave.com. The Razorbacks are 10-2 on the season but have lost two of their last three games. The team began the season with non-conference wins over Mississippi Valley State, North Texas, UT Arlington, Lipscomb, Southern, Central Arkansas, Oral Roberts, and Abilene Christian. Arkansas then defeated Auburn 97-85 in their SEC opener before falling 81-60 to #12 Missouri and 79-74 to #9 Tennessee. Arkansas bounced back with a 99-69 win as a nine-point favorite against Georgia on Saturday. Arkansas is rated 25th in the nation according to KenPom, and have faced the 192nd most difficult schedule.

Arkansas has five double-digit scorers led by 6’6 freshmen Moses Moody, the No. 45 rated high school senior in the country last season, with 16.7 ppg, and 6’1 junior JD Noate with 15.4 ppg.

Arkansas has been explosive offensively, racking up 88.2 ppg, which is ninth in the nation, while shooting 46.2% from the field. Defensively the Razorbacks are allowing 67.3 points per game and holding opponents to 39.4% shooting from the field, which is 43rd in the nation.

Tigers go for 9th win

LSU was selected to finish third in the SEC this season according to three-man-weave.com The Tigers are off to an 8-2 start and are 24h in the nation according to KenPom. The Tigers' schedule is rated 141st in the nation with non-conference wins over SIU Edwardsville, SE Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Sam Houston State, and Nicholls. In the SEC LSU has defeated Texas A&M, Georgia, and Ole Miss. The only non-conference blemish on the schedule was an 85-81 setback to Saint Louis on November 28. LSU also lost to Flordia 83-79 in SEC play on January 2.

The Tigers have four double-digit scorers led by Cameron Thomas with 22.3 points per game, Trendon Watford has added 17.8 ppg, followed by Ja'Vonte Smart with15,4 ppg and Darius Days with 13.5 ppg.

Once again, LSU has been one of the best offensive teams in the country this season, averaging 85.6 points per game, which is 14th in the nation, and shooting 49.1% from the field, which is 31st. Defensively the Tigers are allowing 70 points per game and holding opponents to 41.4 shooting from the field.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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These teams are very evenly matched up. According to BPI, LSU is the second highest-rated team in the SEC at 14th in the nation, and Arkansas is third at 18th. Both teams can light up the scoreboard. The Razorbacks have been the better team at the defensive end, which could be the difference in a tightly contested game. In a battle that I can see coming down to the last possession, either way, I will take the Razorbacks as the underdog here.

Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks +2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Razorbacks are 25th in the nation in adjusted offensive tempo and are fourth in the nation with 67.3 shot attempts per game. The style of play has led to an average of 163 points scored in Arkansas four SEC games.

LSU is averaging 85.6 ppg despite ranking just 169th in adjusted tempo because the Tigers are fifth in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency. LSU will be able to run with the Razorbacks and light up the scoreboard as well. Look for this game to go over the total.

Prediction: Over 159
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  We are glad to have David on our team, so be sure and follow along.