Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4799 Duquesne vs.
#4780 Dayton
Wednesday, January 13, 2021 at 7:00pm EST
Written by David Delano

The Dayton Flyers will host the Duquesne Dukes in Atlantic 10 conference action on Wednesday. Both teams are currently 2-2 in the conference this season. According to KenPom, Dayton is rated as the 71st best team in the country, and Duquesne is 101st.

Dukes go for second straight win

Duquesne went 21-9 last season with an 11-7 mark in the conference and finished 91st in the nation, according to BPI. The Dukes were selected to finish fifth in the A-10 this season, according to the media & coaches poll. The Dukes returned four upper-classmen who averaged double figures in scoring last season. Leading the way is Marcus Weathers, a 6'5 senior who finished 2019-20 with 14.3 points and 8.1 rebounds per game. This season Weathers leads the team with 13.2 ppg, followed by 5'8 senior guard Tavian Dunn-Martin with 12 ppg. Michael Hughes has chipped in 8.3 ppg and a team-best 7.5 rebounds. The Dukes score 65.2 ppg on the season, shooting 40.7% from the field, 28.9% from three-point range, and 65.6% from the free-throw line. The team's third-leading scorer, Sincere Carry is averaging 9.0 ppg and is currently out for personal reasons, He is expected not to play against Dayton.

In the non-conference, Duquesne lost to Little Rock 76-66 on November 30 as a 6.5 point favorite and defeated USC Greensboro 81-68 as a one-point favorite on December 2. In the Atlantic-1o the Dukes are 2-2, with a 75-63 win over George Washington, followed by a 75-73 loss to Ge0rge Washington in back-to-back games played on January 2&3. Duquence also lost to Davidson 61-48 as a 2.5-point dog on January 5, but defeated Fordham 48-45 on Saturday as a 13.5 point favorite.

Flyers battling through injuries

After finishing 29-2 overall and 18-0 in the Atlantic 10 last season, the Flyers return a talented team, despite losing three key players, headlined by Obi Toppi's departure, who was drafted eighth overall in the NBA draft by the New York Knicks. Dayton was were predicted to finish third out of 14 teams in the Atlantic 10 media poll. The Flyers are off to a 6-3 on the season and 2-2 in the conference. In the non-conference, Dayton played five competitive games. The Flyers opened up with a 66-63 win against Eastern Illinois in a game that they were favored to win by 14.5 points. On December 5, Dayton lost to SMU 66-64 as a one-point dog. Dayton then won three straight games, 66-60 against Northern Kentucky, 85-83 in double overtime against Mississippi State, and a 65-62 win over Ole Miss.

In the Atlantic-1o, Dayton has defeated George Mason 74-65 as a 5.5 point favorite and Davidson 89-78 in overtime as a seven-point dog. The Flyers have lost to La Salle 67-65 and Fordham 55-54. In both of those losses, Dayton was a 12 point favorite.

The Flyers score 69.8 ppg on the season, shooting 50.7% from the field, 36.8% from three-point range, and 75.4% from the free-throw line. Dayton is led by senior guard and preseason first-team Atlantic-10 selection Jalen Crutcher, averaging 19.3 ppg, Ibi Watson, a 6'5 senior guard second averaging 16.2 ppg. The Flyers have had to deal with some tough injures this season, losing Chase Johnson for the season, who averaged 12. points and 6.0 rebounds in five games this season, and now Rodney Chatman, who averaged 10 points in six games for at least six to eight weeks.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Even with injuries, Dayton is still an all-around deeper and more talented team than Duquense. The Dukes are also dealing with the loss of a key player in Sincere Carry.

Dayton is one of the nation's best shooting teams, ranking 16th in field goal percentage, 40th in free-throw percentage, and 65th in three-point shooting percentage. Duquense has struggled offensively ranking 292nd in shooting percentage, 286th in free-throw percentage, and 308th in three-point shooting percentage. Give me the Flyers to cover a manageable number at home

Prediction: Dayton Flyers -5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Duquesne is a very poor offensive team, and I expect them to struggle against the Flyers. Dayton on the other hand is without two of their double-digit scores and averaging just 69.8 ppg, which is very low seeing that they shot over 50% from the field as a team. Expect to slow a low scoring game on Wednesday that goes under the total.

Prediction: Under 132.5
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  We are glad to have David on our team, so be sure and follow along.