Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4807 Texas Tech vs.
#4808 Texas
Wednesday, January 13, 2021 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

It’s a pair of ranked programs from the Lone Star State on the hardwood in a marquee Big 12 matchup. The #15 Texas Tech Red Raiders are on the road as they make the in-state trek to face the #4 Texas Longhorns Wednesday night. Texas Tech comes in off a 91-64 rolling of Iowa State in their previous contest, which came on the road Saturday. Texas downed #14 West Virginia, 72-70, on the road in their previous game on Saturday. The Longhorns own an 80-60 advantage in the all-time series between the programs, including a 68-58 road triumph in the most recent matchup on February 29, 2020. That snapped a five-game Texas Tech win streak.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Looking to Pick Up Road Win

Texas Tech won their second straight and their fourth in the last five games as they took care of business against Iowa State. The Red Raiders improved their record to 10-3 overall and 3-2 in the Big 12, leaving them fourth in the conference standings. Texas Tech took control against Iowa State early with an 8-0 run to go up 17-8 with 14:18 to play in the first half. The Red Raiders extended to a 24-point halftime lead and weren’t challenged the rest of the way as they cruised to victory. Texas Tech shot a sizzling 58.9 percent from the field, including seven of 18 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 33-26. Kyler Edwards led the Red Raiders with 19 points in the victory.

The Red Raiders are averaging 75.5 points per game on the offensive end of the floor this season, putting them 117th in the nation in scoring offense. Texas Tech is pulling down 36.1 boards a night while dishing out 13.6 assists per contest. The Red Raiders are stifling on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 7th in the nation by allowing 58 points a night. Mac McClung leads the team with 15.3 points per contest. Terrence Shannon Jr. (13.6 points, 4.8 rebounds) is a solid secondary option scoring in double figures this season. Kyler Edwards (10.6 points, 5.3 rebounds), Marcus Santos-Silva, Kevin McCullar (10.3 points, 6.3 rebounds), Micah Peavy and Jamarius Burton are averaging double-digit minutes for coach Chris Beard. Texas Tech is shooting 44.7 percent from the floor this season. The Red Raiders splash 6.1 threes a night while shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc. Texas Tech is below average at the free throw line as they knock down 70.9 percent of their chances this season.

Texas Longhorns Shooting for Seventh Straight Win

Texas ran their win streak to six games as they pulled out a win at the buzzer to drop #14 West Virginia in Morgantown. The Longhorns improved to 10-1 overall and stand 4-0 in Big 12 play, leaving them tied with #2 Baylor for the top spot in the conference. Texas led by five four minutes into the game and then gave up a 10-0 run to trail by five. The Longhorns trailed by four at the half and faced a 70-65 deficit with 1:43 to play in the game before scoring the game’s final seven points to get the win. Andrew Jones hit the game-winning three-pointer with 1.8 seconds to play in the contest to give Texas the victory. The Longhorns shot 46.6 percent from the field, including four of 19 from three-point range, and held the Mountaineers to 38.7 percent shooting. Courtney Ramey paced Texas with 19 points, five rebounds and six assists in the victory.

On the season, Texas has put up an average of 75.6 points per contest, putting them 115th in the nation in scoring offense on the year. The Longhorns are pulling down an average of 40.7 rebounds per game while dishing out an average of 12.5 assists per contest. Texas is giving up an average of 63.7 points per game this season, leaving them 42nd in the nation in scoring defense. Courtney Ramey is leading the Longhorns with an average of 13.8 points plus 3.5 assists per contest. Kai Jones chips in nine points plus five rebounds a night while Matt Coleman III adds 13.6 points plus 4.4 assists a game. Andrew Jones kicks in 13.4 points a night while Greg Brown Jr. puts up 12 points plus 7.9 rebounds a contest. Jericho Sims, Donovan Williams, Gerald Liddell, Brock Cunningham and Royce Hamm Jr. are other rotation pieces for Shaka Smart. Texas is shooting 45.1 percent from the field as a team this season. The Longhorns are knocking down eight three-pointers a night while sinking 33.2 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. Texas has to be better at the charity stripe as they are cashing in just 72.4 percent of their attempts this season.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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This one is going to be a war between a pair of conference rivals from the Lone Star State. The teams are similar on both ends of the floor and that’s going to make it a tough contest. Both teams have four guys averaging in double figures with solid defensive metrics. The Longhorns have the advantage on the glass with Brown Jr. and Sims leading the way in the low block. Pairing that advantage in the rebounding department along with home-court advantage, there’s just enough momentum here to give Texas the upper hand as they earn another tough victory to bolster their mark and Shaka Smart’s resume.

Prediction: Texas Longhorns -3

Full-Game Total Pick

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Points could be at a premium in this contest as both teams are in the top 50 in the nation in scoring defense on the year. The Red Raiders are fifth in the nation in defensive efficiency, 15th in effective field goal percentage defense (44.3 percent), fourth in turnover percentage (26.7 percent) and 35th in two-point field goal percentage defense (44.3 percent) this season. Texas Tech is 288th in tempo as they average 66.7 possessions per contest this season. On the flip side, Texas is fourth in defensive efficiency, ninth in effective field goal percentage defense (42.3 percent), 15th in three-point field goal percentage defense (27.1 percent) and 21st in two-point field goal percentage defense (43 percent) on the year. The Longhorns are 181st in tempo with 69.1 possessions per game this season. This one ends up falling under the total as both teams step up on the defensive end of the floor.

Prediction: Under 135
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

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