Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#643 Missouri 130 vs.
#644 Mississippi St -2.5
Tuesday, January 14, 2020 at 9:00pm EST
Written by David Hess



#643 University of Missouri
#644 Mississippi State University


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A little Southeastern Conference college hoops action on Tuesday evening and the Missouri Tigers will grapple with the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi. The Bulldogs won the lone meeting between these teams by a score of 68-49. That game was here in Starkville.

Missouri is 1-2 in league play and Mississippi State is 0-3 while both teams enter this game at 9-6 overall.

Tigers Feast On The Gators

The Missouri Tigers are off to a decent 9-6 start overall but they have gone 1-2 withing the SEC. As you can see from the stats below, the Tigers have not been a great offensive team but don't tell that to the Florida Gators. The Tigers beat Florida by a score of 91-75 and it was just the 2nd time in their last 10 games that Missouri scored more than 66 points. The other time was at home against Chicago State, who they beat 91-33 as 33 point favorites. The offense was unstoppable against the Gators as they shot an impressive 62% from the field overall, including 63% (12/19) from long range. The Tigers are not used to shooting that well and they will look to keep it going in this one but the Bulldogs have been a good defensive team in the early going.

Leading their attack in the contest was Dru Smith, who had 22 points while Mark Smith and Javon Pickett each had 14 points in the win. The defense has been very tough for the Tigers this year and they allowed the gators to connect on just 38% of their shots from the field overall while forcing 14 turnovers but they also allowed Florida to hit 43% (10/23) of their shots from long range. The Tigers come into this game ranked 54th in the nation by KenPom and they have faced the 85th ranked schedule. Can their offense duplicate what it did against the Gators? Keep reading to find out.

Missouri enters this game ranked 256th in the nation in scoring at 68.3 ppg, 178th in field goal percentage at 43.8%, 227th in three-point shooting at 32.4% and 79th in free-throw shooting at 73.5%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 8th in points allowed at 58.9 ppg, 19th in defensive FG% at 37.6% and 34th in three-point defense at 28.9%.

Bulldogs Fall Short Against LSU

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have not had a good start to their SEC season as they have dropped all three games played thus far. the offense has been an issue for them as the Bulldoggs have failed to reach 70 points in all three league losses. That is not good news as they are about to face a very tough defensive squad in this one. In their last game, the Bulldogs fell just short in a 60-59 road loss to the LSU Tigers. The Bulldogs shot just 34% from the field overall and they were just three of 17 from long range in the loss, plus State committed 16 turnovers. The only good thing was that they did hit 18 of their 21 free throw attempts. Leading the attack was Nick Weatherspoon, who had 14 points while Reggie Perry had 13 points and 15 boards and Abdul Ado had 12 points and 12 boards.

The Bulldogs did outrebound the Tigers 44-28 but they also forced just eight turnovers. The defense did play very well overall as LSU was able to connect on just 38% of their shots from the field overall, including 14% (3/22) of their shots from long range. The defense was shredded in their first two SEC games as they allowed 90 and 80 points in those games. Mississippi State has a shot at a good defensive outing in this one as Missouri is not a very good offensive team. The Bulldogs are ranked 60th in the nation by KenPom and they have faced the 61st rated slated of games.

The Bulldogs enter this game ranked 171st in the nation in scoring at 72.0 ppg, 113th in field goal percentage at 45.2%, 197th in three-point shooting at 32.9% and 139th in free-throw shooting at 71.3%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 112th in points allowed at 66.3 ppg, 140th in defensive FG% at 41.5% and 184th in three-point defense at 32.9%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I like the Tigers in this one. They are off of a huge confidence-building win over the Florida Gators and I feel that the Tigers have a big edge on the defensive end of the court. The Bulldogs have not scored more than 70 points in their three conference games thus far and they have allowed 76.7 ppg in league play this far. The Tigers have struggled on offense this year but they did score 91 points in their last game and the defense has been one of the best in the nation thus far. Their defensive efficiency ranks 45th in the nation by KenPom while Mississippi State's in 97th. Take the Tigers in this one.

Prediction: Missouri +4

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


This one is a no-brainer for me. The Missouri Tigers have been one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they have allowed just 58.9 ppg which is 8th in the nation and Mississippi state has struggled to score of late, failing to notch more than 69 points in their three SEC games. The Missouri offense has not been good at all and they have averaged just 60.3 ppg on the road while the Bulldogs have allowed just 62.7 ppg at home. Pace of play is also a factor here as the Tigers are 279th in the nation in tempo while the Bulldogs are 309th. this one has all the makings of a 61[-60 type of game.  Lastly, the Under is 23-9 in Missouri's last 32 games following an ATS win and 4-0 in Mississippi State's last four Tuesday games. Take the Under in this one.

Prediction: Under 130.5

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.