Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#611 Ole Miss 135 vs.
#612 Florida -11
Tuesday, January 14, 2020 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.

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#611 University of Mississippi
#612 University of Florida
9-6
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Two teams that are off to disappointing starts to the season will match-up on Tuesday night when Florida hosts Ole Miss. The Gators are 10-5 and are coming off a blowout loss to Missouri on Saturday. Ole Miss is 9-6 and has lost its first two conference games of the season. The Rebels lost to Arkansas on Saturday. Florida has won six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, but Ole Miss has covered in nine of the last 10.

Rebels in need of win

Ole Miss has only picked up one win against a power conference team this season—a two-point win against Penn State in November. The Rebels have struggled lately, losing their first three games of the decade. They opened with a 20-point loss on the road against No. 24 Wichita State and then lost by 10 to Texas A&M in their next game. On Saturday, Ole Miss hosted Arkansas and lost by four points. The Rebels led by six points at halftime, but the Razorbacks outscored them by 10 points in the second half to grab the win. Isaiah Joe scored 34 points, including 26 in the second half, to propel Arkansas to the win.

The Rebels are led by senior guard Breein Tyree, who is scoring 17.8 points per game. Tyree leads the team in made 3-pointers, connecting on 33 of 94 attempts from beyond the arc. Sophomore wing Blake Hinson is scoring 11.0 points per game and is grabbing 4.6 rebounds per game. Hinson is shooting 35.8 percent from distance, making 19 of 53 attempts. Junior guard Devontae Shuler is the only other player in double figures, scoring 10.9 points per game. He is dishing out a team-high 4.1 assists per contest. Sophomore forward KJ Buffen is leading Ole Miss in rebounding, grabbing 6.6 boards per game to go along with 9.7 points per game.

Florida coming off ugly loss

Florida appeared to have bounced back from some disappointing losses, winning its first two SEC games of the year against Alabama and South Carolina. The Gators erased a 21-point second-half deficit against the Crimson Tide and won the game in double overtime. They eased their way to a road victory against South Carolina, winning 81-68. Saturday’s road game was likely Florida’s worst outing of the season. The Gators went on the road to Missouri, which has one of the worst offenses in college basketball. However, Florida allowed the Tigers to score 91 points. Missouri outscored the Gators 51-36 in the first half and cruised to a 91-75 win.

The Gators are led by senior forward Kerry Blackshear Jr., who transferred from Virginia Tech during the summer. Blackshear is scoring 15.1 points per game and is nearly averaging a double-double with 8.4 rebounds per game. He can stretch the floor, knocking down 14 3-pointers this season. Sophomore forward Keyontae Johnson is scoring 12.9 points per game and is pulling down 6.8 rebounds per game. Sophomore guard Andrew Nembhard is scoring 11.1 points per game and is dishing out a team-high 5.9 assists per outing. Sophomore guard Noah Locke is also in double figures, scoring 10.0 points per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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There are some serious trends to consider in this game. Florida is 1-14 against the spread in its last 15 home games, which is the worst mark for any college basketball team over their last 15 home games. Ole Miss has dominated the head-to-head as far as covering the number, going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 against Florida. Neither team has been good at covering the spread this season and each team is failing to perform to expectation. It’s too difficult for me to trust Florida to cover a number this big, especially after how the Gators looked against Missouri. I’ll roll with the underdog that has covered in nine of its last 10 against Florida.

Prediction: Ole Miss +11.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both Ole Miss and Florida are struggling first and foremost on the defensive end of the court. This has led to a lot of overs for both sides, with five of the Rebels’ last seven going over the number and nine of the Gators’ last 10 games going over the total. With the defenses struggling for both teams, it’s too tough to take the under here. Four of Florida’s last five games against teams from the SEC have gone over. I like Tuesday’s game to be high-scoring and to go over the total.

Prediction: Over 136.5
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Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.