Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4863 Arizona vs.
#4864 Oregon State
Thursday, January 14, 2021 at 11:00pm EST
Written by The Admiral

Arizona Wildcats (9-3) vs. Oregon State Beavers (5-4)

The Arizona Wildcats look to get back into the win column on Thursday when they travel to take on the Oregon State Beavers. The Wildcats have lost two in a row, including Saturday’s defeat at the hands of the UCLA Bruins, 81-76. Oregon State has been struggling to get onto the court as four of their last seven games have been postponed. They lost their most recent game, falling to Stanford on January 4, 81-71.

The Wildcats won the most recent contest between these teams, beating the Beavers in February last year, 89-63. Arizona is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Arizona is favored by 6.5-points.

Bruins Outlast Wildcats

The Wildcats were tied with UCLA entering the half on Saturday, but the Bruins put it together after the break, outscoring Arizona by five on their way to an 81-76 victory. It was a poor second-half shooting performance that doomed the Wildcats, as they shot 51.6% in the first half, but only 35.3% in the second. That included going three for 11 from beyond the arc.

Akinjo James led the way for Arizona with 25 points and eight assists. Tubelis Azuolas dropped in 15 and led the team with eight boards.

Arizona is averaging 78.5 ppg while allowing 67.9 per contest. They are shooting 44.3% from the field and 35.5% from three-point range. The Wildcats have done a great job getting to the foul line, averaging 18.2 free throws per game, 11th best in the country. They are hitting on 70.1% of their free-throw attempts. The team is 40th in the country in rebounds per game at 37.3.

Akinjo leads the team in scoring at 13.9 ppg and is averaging a little more than five assists per contest. The Wildcats suffered a huge loss when Jemarl Baker, the team’s second-leading scorer was lost for the season with a broken hand. He was averaging 12.0 points per contest. Azuolas is third on the team in scoring at 10.8 per contest and is the team’s leading rebounder at 6.1 per game.

Beavers Look to Regain Bite

After two straight postponements, the Oregon State Beavers may be a little bit rusty entering this contest against Arizona. The last time they took to the court was against Stanford on January 4, an 81-71 loss to the Cardinal. Jared Lucas led the team in scoring with 22 and Gianni Hunt added 17, but a 34.8% accuracy from the field doomed this team, including going 11 of 34 from beyond the arc.

Oregon State is averaging 75.9 ppg while allowing 66.1 per contest, ranked in the top 100 defensively. They are shooting 42.6% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range. They rank in the top 100 in free-throw percentage (74.0) and assists per game (16.9). They are 28th in blocks per game at 4.9.

The Beavers are led in scoring by Ethan Thompson at 16.3 ppg. The leading rebounder is Warith Alatishe at 8.9 per contest and he is averaging 9.7 points per game. Lucas is the only other player averaging in double digits at 12.3 per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be upfront and say that I believe Arizona will win this game. However, the loss of Baker is a huge one. His points will be difficult to replace, and it may take four or five games for this team to figure out who was going to replace him in his role on the court. That gives the Beavers a chance to keep this game close.

To be honest, I do not think that the Wildcats are that much better of a team. The record is better, but they have struggled since getting into Pac 12 conference play and this game is at Oregon State. The one thing hurting the Beavers is the long layoff, as that can be difficult to get back into a rhythm. That will hurt more in terms of how many points are scored, but Oregon state is not going to be blown out in this game.

Prediction: Take Oregon State and the points -6.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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With Oregon State being off since January 4 because of postponements, I think that they are going to struggle early. The first half is not going to be pretty, as they are trying to get back into a rhythm. I have said this many times before and it always seems to come to fruition. It is hard to replicate game-like conditions in practice, and it takes 10 or 15 minutes to get back into a groove. That puts the Beavers behind the eight ball so to speak.

However, I do not see Arizona lighting up. They scored 73 against USC and 76 against UCLA and neither of those teams are significantly better defensively than Oregon State. This has a low-scoring game written all over it. The total is set at 141.5. Look for Arizona to win, 73-67.

Prediction: Go under 141.5 (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so the Admiral knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.