Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#651 Fresno State vs.
#652 UNLV
Friday, January 14, 2022 at 11:00pm EST
Written by The Admiral

Fresno State Bulldogs (11-4) vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (9-6)

It is a battle in the Mountain West Conference when the Fresno State Bulldogs take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels on Friday. These two both had several postponements before their most recent contest, both victories. The Runnin’ Rebels defeated New Mexico 85-56 on Tuesday. They are now 4-2 ATS in their last six games. Fresno State defeated San Jose State on Tuesday, 79-59. The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine.

The Bulldogs are favored by 1.0-points and the total is set at 127.0. UNLV won the last meeting between these teams, winning 68-67 on February 26 last year. Fresno State is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Bulldogs Roll Past Spartans

Fresno State took an 11-point lead into the break on their way to a 79-59 victory. The Bulldogs shot 52.5% from the field, led by Orlando Robinson, who scored 31 points and added 12 rebounds. Anthony Holland also recorded a double-double, scoring 20 points and adding 11 rebounds.

The Bulldogs are 293rd in points per game at 66.6 and have been outstanding defensively, allowing 55.9 points per game, sixth overall. The team is shooting 44.4% from the field, 172nd overall, and are 290th in three-point shooting at 31.1%. They have been great from the free-throw line, 87th at 73.6%.

Robinson is averaging 19.5 ppg, shooting 51.9% from the field. He is also the team leader in rebounding at 8.3 per contest. No other player is averaging double-digits. Jemari Baker is second in scoring (8.4), but is out for the season with a knee injury.

Runnin’ Rebels Crush New Mexico

UNLV crushed New Mexico, jumping out to a 10-point halftime lead and then pouring it on, winning 85-56. Donovan Williams had a huge game, scoring 29 points, hitting 10 of 12 shots and seven of 11 from the free-throw line. Royce Hamm recorded a double-double, scoring 11 points and adding 13 rebounds.

The Runnin’ Rebels are 200th in points per game (71.3) and 108th in points allowed per contest (65.6). they are 291st in field goal percentage at 41.9% and 285th in three-point percentage at 31.4%. UNLV is also a great free-throw shooting team, hitting 75.5% of their attempts, 96th in the nation.

The Runnin’ Rebels are led by Bryce Hamilton at 18.3 ppg. He is shooting 42.0% from the field. Hamm is averaging 9.0 ppg and 10.4 rebounds per contest. Donovan is the only other player averaging in double-digits at 13.9 points per game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Each of these teams should be well-rested as they had a couple of weeks off before returning to the court on Tuesday. Each won, so they are both feeling high entering this contest. 

The big difference between the teams is how well Fresno State has played defensively. Six straight opponents have been held under 70 points and five of the last six have been held under 60. They know how to get after opponents, and the Runnin’ Rebels are not the teams of the 1980s-90s. They have to battle for every point and that is not a good formula for success against a very good Bulldogs team. 

Prediction: Fresno State Bulldogs at -1.0 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Low-scoring games are what Fresno State is all about. That is true of UNLV as well as they have gone under in four of their last five games against teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs have gone under in eight of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.

UNLV has scored at least 80 points in four of their last five games, but the one time they scored under 60 points was against a very good San Diego State team. The Bulldogs can put that kind of pressure that will cause the Runnin’ Rebels to struggle. Look for a total of around 125. 

Prediction: Under 127.0 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.