Miami of Ohio at Toledo
When and Where: Tuesday, Jan. 15, Savage Arena, Toledo, Ohio, 7 p.m. EST.
Perhaps back on track after getting its first conference win, Toledo looks to get back to the .500 mark in Mid-American play Tuesday night when it goes for an 11th straight win over Miami of Ohio.
RedHawks struggling defensively in poor conference start
Miami (8-5, 0-3 MAC East) is trying to avoid its second 0-4 conference start in four seasons after being routed by then-No. 18 Buffalo 88-64 on the road Saturday.
After yielding 69.1 points per game in non-conference action, the RedHawks have not come close to that mark. All three MAC opponents have cleared 80 points and have averaged 85.0 points on 48.6 percent overall shooting and 38.9 percent from 3-point range.
We remain on the road to take on Toledo tomorrow at 7 p.m. You can watch live on ESPN+. Here is a preview, along with the weekly press conference from @MiamiCoachO where he looks back at Buffalo and looks ahead to the Rockets.https://t.co/RBJFxpYq4j#RiseUpRedHawks pic.twitter.com/pgZUbC5LtZ
— MiamiOH Basketball (@MiamiOH_BBall) January 14, 2019
Miami was torched for 52 second-half points and has given up 40 or more in the final 20 minutes of all three conference games.
Nike Sibande scored 18 points for the RedHawks, but only 11 of them came after the game’s first three minutes. Sibande — the team’s leading scorer at 16.3 points per game — did hit 7 of 12 shots, a promising sign considering he made only 8 of 31 in Miami’s first two MAC losses.
Dalonte Brown is contributing 14.4 points per game. The RedHawks are 1-4 on the road this season, averaging only 63.6 points and shooting 39.7 percent while being outscored by 15.2 points per game.
Rockets try to build on breakthrough MAC win
With its NCAA at-large hopes perhaps hanging in the balance, Toledo (13-3, 1-2 West) finally delivered a solid performance and notched its first conference win after Saturday’s 85-77 victory at Western Michigan.
Don't miss out on some free tacos tomorrow night! Tip-off at 7 pm vs. Miami! https://t.co/KPYNmUcE7G
— Toledo M Basketball (@ToledoMBB) January 14, 2019
Nate Navigato hit 5 of 7 from 3-point range and scored 21 points to key a perimeter assault in which Toledo made 14 of 27 from beyond the arc and have five players with at least two treys. Navigato and Jaelan Sanford fueled a 12-0 second-half run for the Rockets to break open a close game
Chris Darrington was one of those players with two 3-pointers. He finished with eight points but is averaging 10.6 off the bench as Toledo is fourth in the MAC in scoring at 81.6 points per game.
“I look to be aggressive when I come in there,” Darrington told the Toledo Blade. “Being the leader of the bench crew that comes in, I try to bring energy and try to give the starters a break. I’m looking to come in and be aggressive and get points on the board when the starters are resting. They can depend on me to get quick points and instant offense.”
Sanford and Navigato are 1-2 in scoring for the Rockets at 16.7 and 13.1 points per game, respectively. Toledo has five players averaging in double figures, and Navigato is shooting a scorching 51.6 percent from 3-point range — good for ninth in the nation.
The Rockets opened the season 7-0 at home before opening conference play with a 79-64 defeat to Ball State on Jan. 4.
- 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a favorite.
- 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
- 4-1 ATS in its last five home games as a favorite.
- The over is 4-1 in its last five games as a favorite between 7-12.5 points.
- The over is 4-1 in its last five home games as a favorite between 7-12.5 points.
- The over is 5-2 in its last seven games as a favorite.
Miami of Ohio is:
- 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. above-.500 teams.
- 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games.
- 0-4 ATS in its last four games.
- No trends of note.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Rockets got a much-needed win over the weekend, and they look to be back on track across the board, especially from the perimeter. Navigato and Sanford should continue powering Toledo against a Miami team struggling to find connectivity defensively.
With the line dropping 1.5 points in Miami of Ohio’s favor, the prospect of the Rockets facing a young RedHawks team at home with so much at stake for Kowalczyk’s team is too good to pass up on a strong play.
Prediction: Pick: Toledo -7.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This line actually retreated a point after a quick two-point jump following its open at 147. Toledo has averaged 80.7 points in the last seven games of this 10-game run versus Miami of Ohio and should be able to continue its offensive proficiency against one of the worst defenses in the nation.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 148 points
Half-Time Side Pick
This is a confidence pick in the Rockets after their performance at Western Michigan as well as Miami’s struggles in MAC play. Toledo had led by at least seven points in all of its six prior home games before its loss to Ball State, while Miami has trailed by double figures in two of its five true road games and three overall.
Prediction: Pick: Toledo -4.5
Half-Time Total Bet
The RedHawks have been at 65 or more first-half points in all but one of their eight road and neutral-site games and 67 or more in four of their five true road contests. While Toledo has been at 61 and 64 in the first half of its last two home games, it had been between 70 and 87 in the opening 20 minutes of the previoud four contests.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 70 points