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Miami - OH vs. Toledo Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#619 Miami - OH
Redhawks 146.5
#620 Toledo
Rockets -8

Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami - OH Redhawks

8 - 8

5-8
ATS
6-8
O/U
75
PPG
72
OPPG

Toledo Rockets

13 - 3

9-6
ATS
8-7
O/U
81
PPG
69
OPPG

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Miami of Ohio at Toledo

When and Where: Tuesday, Jan. 15, Savage Arena, Toledo, Ohio, 7 p.m. EST.

Perhaps back on track after getting its first conference win, Toledo looks to get back to the .500 mark in Mid-American play Tuesday night when it goes for an 11th straight win over Miami of Ohio.

RedHawks struggling defensively in poor conference start

Miami (8-5, 0-3 MAC East) is trying to avoid its second 0-4 conference start in four seasons after being routed by then-No. 18 Buffalo 88-64 on the road Saturday.

After yielding 69.1 points per game in non-conference action, the RedHawks have not come close to that mark. All three MAC opponents have cleared 80 points and have averaged 85.0 points on 48.6 percent overall shooting and 38.9 percent from 3-point range.

Miami was torched for 52 second-half points and has given up 40 or more in the final 20 minutes of all three conference games.

Nike Sibande scored 18 points for the RedHawks, but only 11 of them came after the game’s first three minutes. Sibande — the team’s leading scorer at 16.3 points per game — did hit 7 of 12 shots, a promising sign considering he made only 8 of 31 in Miami’s first two MAC losses.

Dalonte Brown is contributing 14.4 points per game. The RedHawks are 1-4 on the road this season, averaging only 63.6 points and shooting 39.7 percent while being outscored by 15.2 points per game.

Rockets try to build on breakthrough MAC win

With its NCAA at-large hopes perhaps hanging in the balance, Toledo (13-3, 1-2 West) finally delivered a solid performance and notched its first conference win after Saturday’s 85-77 victory at Western Michigan.

Nate Navigato hit 5 of 7 from 3-point range and scored 21 points to key a perimeter assault in which Toledo made 14 of 27 from beyond the arc and have five players with at least two treys. Navigato and Jaelan Sanford fueled a 12-0 second-half run for the Rockets to break open a close game

Chris Darrington was one of those players with two 3-pointers. He finished with eight points but is averaging 10.6 off the bench as Toledo is fourth in the MAC in scoring at 81.6 points per game.

“I look to be aggressive when I come in there,” Darrington told the Toledo Blade. “Being the leader of the bench crew that comes in, I try to bring energy and try to give the starters a break. I’m looking to come in and be aggressive and get points on the board when the starters are resting. They can depend on me to get quick points and instant offense.”

Sanford and Navigato are 1-2 in scoring for the Rockets at 16.7 and 13.1 points per game, respectively. Toledo has five players averaging in double figures, and Navigato is shooting a scorching 51.6 percent from 3-point range — good for ninth in the nation.

The Rockets opened the season 7-0 at home before opening conference play with a 79-64 defeat to Ball State on Jan. 4.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Rockets got a much-needed win over the weekend, and they look to be back on track across the board, especially from the perimeter. Navigato and Sanford should continue powering Toledo against a Miami team struggling to find connectivity defensively.

With the line dropping 1.5 points in Miami of Ohio’s favor, the prospect of the Rockets facing a young RedHawks team at home with so much at stake for Kowalczyk’s team is too good to pass up on a strong play.

Prediction: Pick: Toledo -7.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This line actually retreated a point after a quick two-point jump following its open at 147. Toledo has averaged 80.7 points in the last seven games of this 10-game run versus Miami of Ohio and should be able to continue its offensive proficiency against one of the worst defenses in the nation.

Prediction: Pick: OVER 148 points

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

This is a confidence pick in the Rockets after their performance at Western Michigan as well as Miami’s struggles in MAC play. Toledo had led by at least seven points in all of its six prior home games before its loss to Ball State, while Miami has trailed by double figures in two of its five true road games and three overall.

Prediction: Pick: Toledo -4.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The RedHawks have been at 65 or more first-half points in all but one of their eight road and neutral-site games and 67 or more in four of their five true road contests. While Toledo has been at 61 and 64 in the first half of its last two home games, it had been between 70 and 87 in the opening 20 minutes of the previoud four contests.

Prediction: Pick: OVER 70 points

Chris Altruda (@AlTruda73)

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.

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