Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#661 Dayton vs.
#662 Duquesne
Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 12:30pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

The Dayton Flyers take on the Duquesne Dukes in an A10 battle on Saturday afternoon. The Flyers were able to collect a solid home win against Saint Louis on Tuesday. The Dukes were dealt a narrow defeat against Fordham on Wednesday night. Each team earned one win in last year's season series.

Dayton Rallies for Two Straight Wins

The Dayton Flyers are seeking a third consecutive victory. They dropped their A10 opener in a narrow defeat against VCU and have countered with victories against GW, and were three-point favorites in a 68-63 home win against Saint Louis on Tuesday night. Dayton is playing stifling defense right now and has covered the spread in just two out of their last five games.

Toumani Camara wasn’t at his best in Tuesday’s victory but has converted on at least 50% of his field goals in four out of his last five performances. The sophomore forward is sporting an average of 10.6 PPG and 6.8 RPG. DaRon Holmes II is consistently producing, scoring at least 10 points in eight out of his last 10 games overall. The freshman forward has tallied an average of 10.6 PPG on a stellar 63% mark from the field. Malachi Smith has scored 27 points in his last two games. The freshman guard has registered an average of 10.5 PPG and 4.6 APG.

The Flyers are positioned 94th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and are 1-2 on the road including defeats against SMU and Ole Miss. Dayton is averaging 69.8 points on the year, landing them 233rd in the country. They are limiting opponents to only 63.2 points, good for 59th overall.

Duquesne's Winning Streak Ends in Loss to Fordham

The Duquesne Dukes are looking to rebound from a frustrating loss. They were tabbed as narrow two-point favorites in Wednesday’s tough 72-71 road loss to Fordham to dip to 1-1 in A10 play. The defeat thwarted a three-game winning streak. The Dukes won the conference opener in a 78-74 decision against UMass. They have covered the spread in two out of their last five clashes.

Leon Ayers III scored 13 points in Wednesday’s loss. The junior guard is capable of big performances and has overtaken the team lead in scoring with 12.5 PPG. Amir Spears is in a groove lately, scoring 20 points in back-to-back games. The freshman guard owns an average of 12.5 PPG on 38% shooting. Kevin Easley has cooled off, shooting below 39% in three straight games. The sophomore forward is having a productive season, reaching double-digits in most games, and enters with an average of 12.2 PPG and 6.6 RPG.

The Dukes are ranked 182nd in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and are only 3-3 at home including a loss to Bowling Green. Duquesne is scoring an average of 70.6 points, landing them down at 210th in the country. They are conceding an average of 71.4 points, landing them at 256th overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Dayton Flyers are thriving right now, winning and covering in their last two conference games against GW, followed by a solid victory against a terrific Saint Louis team. Duquesne has only won three out of their last seven games including a defeat against a poor Fordham team in their latest action. The Dukes don’t stand out in any area. 

Furthermore, the Flyers have the better numbers. They are especially stellar on defense, allowing just 99.1 points per 100 possessions compared to 104.9 from the Dukes. The Flyers also have the rebounding advantage and their forwards will pose a problem for the Dukes.

Prediction: Dayton Flyers -3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This will be a defensive battle. The Flyers play at a slow pace of only 67.8 possessions per game, landing them 310th overall in pace of play. The defense has been tremendous in conference play and they have allowed an average of only 58.5 points in their last four games overall. The under has cashed in four out of their last six games.

In addition, the Dukes rank 205th in pace and only attempt an average of 21 threes per game which is below average. Also, Dayton rarely posts a big number offensively due to their style of play. They usually score less than 70 points.

Prediction: Under 134.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Dayton team total is a solid play. The Flyers are shooting a stellar 48% on the season and they will exploit a Duquesne team that ranks 309th in field goal defense. The Dukes also give up a ton of threes and can’t be trusted against this potent Flyers squad.

Prediction: Dayton Team Total Over

Half-Time Side Pick

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Dayton will have a decent lead by the half. Dayton has averaged a solid 32.7 points in the opening half in their last three games. Defensively they are stellar, limiting foes to only 25.7 points in the first half in their last three while Duquesne has conceded 30.3 points in the first half this season.

Prediction: Dayton
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.