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Arkansas State vs. UT Arlington Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-17-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#623 Arkansas State
Red Wolves 139.5
#624 UT Arlington
Mavericks -4.5

Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arkansas State Red Wolves

8 - 9

6-9
ATS
7-8
O/U
75
PPG
77
OPPG

UT Arlington Mavericks

6 - 11

8-8
ATS
3-13
O/U
64
PPG
70
OPPG

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It’s a battle of Sun Belt opponents on the hardwood in the Lone Star State. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are on the road as they make the trip to face the UT Arlington Mavericks Thursday night. Arkansas State fell 90-85 in overtime at home to Troy Saturday in their last contest. UT Arlington defeated Coastal Carolina 61-58 on the road in their last game Saturday in their previous tilt. The Red Wolves lead the all-time regular season series 28-15 but the Mavericks have taken the last four meetings, including a 97-71 road win in the last matchup on January 13, 2018.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Try to Regroup

Arkansas State fell for the second time in three games as they were upended by Troy in overtime at home. The Red Wolves look to pick up a road win and climb back over the .500 mark in conference play. Arkansas State led by three at the half and by five with 1:21 to play in regulation before being forced into overtime. In the extra session, the Red Wolves led 85-84 but were outscored 6-0 over the final 2:30 to end up with the loss. Arkansas State shot 42.4 percent from the field, including seven of 24 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 39-33. Ty Cockfield led the Red Wolves with 31 points in the loss.

The Red Wolves average 75.2 points per game on the season thus far. Arkansas State collects 39.1 rebounds a night and dishes out 11.3 assists per contest. The Red Wolves are a dismal 291st in scoring defense by allowing 77.2 points per game. Ty Cockfield is one of only two players scoring in double figures for the team with 21.2 points plus 3.5 assists per game this season. Marquis Eaton (12.5 points), Grantham Gillard, Canburk Kus, J.J. Matthews, Tristan Walley, Salif Boudie and Malik Brevard all put up at least 4.3 points per game for Arkansas State this season. The Red Wolves are shooting 41.8 percent from the field and connect on 7.5 three pointers a game on 35 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Arkansas State has been slightly above average at the free throw line this season as they’ve hit 73.4 percent this season as a team.

UT Arlington Mavericks Hoping to Pick Up Home Win

UT Arlington won their second straight game as they prevailed over Coastal Carolina on the road. The Mavericks try to earn a third straight win as they return home in this contest. UT Arlington was tied at the half and trailed by two with 1:24 to play in the game. The Mavericks scored the game’s final five points in the contest to earn the victory. UT Arlington shot 38.5 percent from the field in the contest, including 11 of 31 three-point attempts in the game, and held the Chanticleers to 38.8 percent shooting in the contest. Edric Dennis had 19 points to lead the Mavericks in the win.

The Mavericks put up an average of only 64.9 points per game so far this season. UT Arlington pulls down 36.1 rebounds per contest while dishing out 11.1 assists per game. The Mavericks are slightly above average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 162nd in the nation in scoring defense: they allow 70.6 points per game. Brian Warren leads the team with 13.8 points plus three assists per game this season. Edric Dennis is the only other player scoring in double figures with 13.6 points plus 4.4 rebounds per game. David Azore, Radshad Davis, Andres Ibarguen and Tiandre Jackson-Young each put up at least 6.9 points per game this season. UT Arlington shoots 38.8 percent from the field as a team this season. The Mavericks sink 6.3 triples per contest while shooting 26 percent from beyond the arc. UT Arlington is decent at the charity stripe as they sink 72.4 percent from the free throw line this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Mavericks have won back to back games coming into this contest but they are only 3-4 at home this season. On the flip side of things, they are facing an Arkansas State team that has been awful away from home this season. The Red Wolves are 1-6 on the road this season and 1-2 on neutral floors. Arkansas State is the better offensive team this season but UT Arlington gets the nod on the defensive end of the floor. Look for the Mavericks to come up with the victory in this contest as their defense carries them to a win.

Prediction: UT Arlington Mavericks -4.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Arkansas State has had their problems on the defensive end of the floor and they are going to have to try to put together a solid offensive showing in this one. UT Arlington has been good on the defensive end and they came up with wins on the road over Coastal Carolina and Appalachian State. The Mavericks still have to put some points on the board if they hope to maintain their spot in the Sun Belt standings. Can UT Arlington even their conference mark with a win in this contest?

The under is 6-0-1 in the Red Wolves’ last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. UT Arlington has seen the under go 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 4-0 in their last 4 games following a straight up win, 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 9-0 in their last nine after an ATS win. This one ends up falling just short of the number thanks to the defensive showing of UT Arlington.

Prediction: Under 139

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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