Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#865 Michigan 146 vs.
#866 Iowa -5
Friday, January 17, 2020 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#865 University of Michigan
#866 University of Iowa
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The #19 Michigan Wolverines will head on the road to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big Ten showdown Friday night from the Carver-Hawkeye Arena. The Wolverines were dealt a 75-67 road loss by Minnesota on Sunday, and the Hawkeyes crushed Northwestern 75-62 on Tuesday night. The Wolverines tallied a 101-93 home win over Iowa last month.

Michigan Falls to Minnesota, Dip to 2-3 in Big Ten Play

The Michigan Wolverines will be eager to return to the court. They have dropped two out of their last three games overall to dip to 2-3 in Big Ten play. Michigan lost to Michigan State, beat Purdue, then lost 75-67 at Minnesota this past Sunday in a clash that had the Wolverines labeled as two-point dogs.

Jon Teske has been outstanding in most Big Ten games but only scored nine points in Sunday’s defeat. The 7-foot-1 center has scored at least 15 points in four out of his last five games and is sporting an average of 14.3 PPG and 7.9 RPG. Teske scored 16 points against Iowa last month. Isaiah Livers is out of the lineup which leaves a big void. The junior forward is having a solid season overall, logging 13.6 PPG on 50% shooting. Zavier Simpson is hot, registering a combined 41 points in his last two games. The senior guard is an outstanding playmaker and is averaging 12.6 points and a team-leading 8.9 assists per game.

The Wolverines were fortunate to remain at #19 in the AP Top 25 rankings this week, while Ken Pomeroy has them placed 20th overall. Michigan has many scoring threats and they are averaging 77.9 points, good for 44th in all of DI. They are holding opponents to 68.6 points, placing them 173rd overall.

Iowa Thumps Northwestern, Seeks Third Straight Win

The Iowa Hawkeyes are hunting for their third consecutive victory. They logged a convincing 75-62 road win against Northwestern on Tuesday to cover the 5.5 point spread. Iowa has lost to ranked Michigan and Penn State and defeated #12 Maryland. The Hawkeyes' defense has stood out recently and they are an even 3-3 in Big Ten play.

Watch for Luke Garza in this one. The 6-foot-11 center is regularly dominating his opposition. Garza has tallied a double-double in three out of his last four games and has surpassed 20 points 11 times this year. Garza has compiled an average of 22.3 PPG and 10.4 RPG and scored 44 points against Michigan last month. Joe Wieskamp is also playing well, reaching 20 points in three out of his last four games. The sophomore guard is carrying an average of 14.5 points and 6.2 rebounds. CJ Fredrick is another big scoring threat. The freshman guard is shooting a dazzling 52% and holds an average of 10.4 PPG. Fredrick is dealing with a foot injury but is expected to play.

The Hawkeyes are positioned 15th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings, and they should climb into the AP Top 25 with another win in this game. Iowa is scoring an average of 79.3 points, good for 29th overall. They are allowing an average of 68.9 points, placing them 183rd in DI.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking the points with Michigan in this one. I expect the Wolverines to rebound with a much better performance in this game. Michigan cannot afford another conference loss and they already beat Iowa by a wild 103-91 score last month. Michigan was able to sink 55% of their field goals in the winning effort.

Furthermore, Iowa has not been as threatening from an offensive standpoint recently, averaging only 70.6 points in their last three games overall. They have enjoyed an easier schedule than Michigan recently as they have played Nebraska which resulted in an upset loss and they also played Northwestern within their last three games.

Prediction: Michigan Wolverines

Full-Game Total Pick

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I anticipate a much lower scoring battle than the first meeting. The defense on both Michigan and Iowa is outstanding and both teams have cooled down offensively recently. Michigan has scored less than 70 points in two out of their last three games and Iowa has scored 70 or fewer points in the same span. The under is 25-12 in the Wolverines’ last 37 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

In addition, Iowa has only conceded 49 and 62 points respectively in their last two games against a ranked Maryland squad and Northwestern. The Wolverines held Iowa to a 3 for 15 performance from three-point range in the first meeting. The under is 7-0 in the Hawkeyes’ last seven home games, and it should cash again.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Michigan team total offered on PointsBet is a recommended prop. The Wolverines shot 41% from three-point range against Iowa last month. I also like the matchup of Michigan center Jon Teske against Luke Garza. Teske went 7 for 9 from the field in that game and he only played 23 minutes. Michigan also out-rebounded Iowa by a 38-30 margin in the victory last month.

Prediction: Michigan Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am opting for the over on the halftime total. Michigan has allowed an average of 34 points in the first half in their last three games which is above their season average of 29 points against. Also, Iowa is allowing an average of 33.3 points in the opening half which places them down at 207th overall.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.