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Pepperdine vs. Pacific,
1-18-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#563 Pepperdine
Waves
#564 Pacific
Tigers

Thursday, January 18, 2018 at 10:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pepperdine Waves

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Pacific Tigers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Pacific hosts Pepperdine on Thursday night at Alex G. Spanos Center. The Waves are still looking for their first WCC victory (0-6) and road win (0-8) this season. The Tigers are in a three-way tie for third place with San Diego and BYU. Pacific won their last meeting against Pepperdine, 89-84, last season.

Line: Pacific -10

Waves lose ninth straight, get blown out again by St. Mary’s

Pepperdine comes in with nine straight losses and doesn’t look competitive at all this season. It’s not a strong defense, but that stretch does include five road games and home contests against Gonzaga and St. Mary’s — the latter they faced on Saturday in a 91-67 blowout. They were 16-point underdogs and still weren’t able to cover. After an even start in the first half, the Gaels eventually went on a massive run toward halftime and shot 66.7 percent at the end of it all.

The Waves weren’t that successful, hitting 43.5 percent of their shots and making just 4-of-17 from downtown. They also missed 7 of their 16 free throw attempts, and in a game like that, they needed to be much better. They held a decent passing ratio of 17 assists to 4 turnovers, but that was about all that went right. Eric Cooper Jr. (13.4 ppg) led the team with 19 points on 8-of-13 shooting, most of those misses coming from 3-point range.

Tigers offense stumbles around a bit, but still pulls off win at Portland

Pacific comes in rattling off three straight wins. After dropping San Diego in a thriller, they ended up blowing past Portland on the road, 66-54. It was an ugly contest, but the Tigers benefitted as their defense was far better than the 74.5 points they’ve allowed on average this season (232nd nationally). They were modest from downtown (6-for-17) and terrible from the foul line (made 10-of-20), but their 48.1 percent shooting and holding onto the ball (5 TOs) helped out.

Roberto Gallinat (12.9 ppg) picked up the slack for a number of starters, finishing with 18 points on 8-of-13 shooting from the field. He also added five boards, the most he’s reeled in for a single game in a long time. Jahlil Tripp (9.7 ppg, 8.2 rpg) was limited on offense with just three points on 1-of-4 shooting, but he stuffed his stat line with six assists to one turnover and led the team with eight rebounds.

Trends

Pepperdine is:

  • 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings against the Tigers

Pacific is:

  • 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games after an ATS win
  • 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams winning below 40%

It’s pretty clear the Waves aren’t going to win many games this season — nor cover many of them. However, this could be one of their better shots as the Tigers are outscored on average this season. They’ve also covered more on the road (3-5) than at home (2-7) this season.

Pick: Pepperdine

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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