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UL Monroe vs. Texas St,
1-18-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#549 UL Monroe
Warhawks
#550 Texas St
Bobcats

Thursday, January 18, 2018 at 8:50pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UL Monroe Warhawks

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Texas St Bobcats

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Texas State hosts Louisiana-Monroe on Thursday night at Strahan Coliseum. The Bobcats are near the top of the Sun Belt Conference with five straight victories. The Warhawks haven’t been that fortunate, dropping four games in that same stretch. Texas State won the last meeting, 63-51, last March.

Line: Texas State -7

Total: 126.5

Warhawks offensive improvements regress in bad loss at ULL

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has been on the right track, but it hit a wall when it took on the Sun Belt’s best team, Louisiana-Lafayette, last time out. ULM faltered in an 82-48 blowout on the road last Saturday. The Warhawks were a near 15-point underdog, but that spread was accomplished at halftime when they only scored 15 points. They eventually improved to 34 percent shooting on the night, but it was a very ugly showing.

Two players hit double figures in the point column, and they were led by Sam McDaniel (16.1 ppg). He hit 6-of-10 from the field overall and made 5-of-7 from the free throw line. The rest of the team combined to hit 3-of-6 from the charity stripe — and 11 more field goals. McDaniel has been the reliable man on offense netting 17 or more points in four straight games. He’ll need a more consistent effort from the rest of his peers.

Bobcats grab another nailbiter, making it five straight

Texas State’s offense is slightly worse than the opposition on the national scale, and that’s part of the reason they are 5-6-1 against the spread (and 0-3 at home) this season. However, being able to adapt to any game’s pace and making clutch stops defensively has collected them many wins lately. In their last five games, all of them have been decided by six points or less (three of them were by three points or less).

The latest tight affair was a 72-70 win at Little Rock. They covered the spread for sportsbooks that had the game at the 1.5-point mark. It was an extremely tight affair throughout as neither team had more than a three-point lead in all 40 minutes. The opposition hit 57.8 percent of their shots, but still made less field goals as the Bobcats had 16 more attempts on the night. Tre’Larenz Nottingham led a balanced attack with 14 points, and he’s had 31 total points in his last two games.

Trends

Louisiana-Monroe is:

  • 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on Thursday
  • 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after an ATS loss

Texas State is:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games
  • The home team, who are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings of this matchup

Either the Bobcats are going to pull through with another close game, or the Warhawks’ offense will get back into form and take control of this game. At some point, luck will run out for the home team. They haven’t beaten the spread there, and it probably won’t happen again.

Pick: ULM

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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