Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#733 Providence 139.5 vs.
#734 Creighton -6.5
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 4:30pm EST
Written by Blake V.



#733 Providence College
#734 Creighton University


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No. 25 Creighton will look to bounce back from losses in three of its last four games when the Blue Jays host Providence on Saturday afternoon. Providence has won five of its last six games, including a mid-week win against St. John’s. Creighton is coming off a narrow mid-week loss to Georgetown.

Providence coming off win

Providence is currently holding second place in the Big East after improving to 4-1 in conference play on Wednesday night. The Friars have now picked up wins against Georgetown, DePaul, Marquette and St. John’s. Their lone loss was against Butler, who is currently the No. 5 team in the country. Providence jumped out to a 31-26 halftime lead against the Red Storm on Wednesday night and held them off in the second half to secure the win. The Friars only shot 23.5 percent from beyond the arc in the victory.

They are led by senior guard Alpha Diallo, who is scoring 14.3 points per game and is grabbing a team-high 8.5 rebounds per game. He has struggled to consistently shoot from the perimeter, making 17 of 61 from downtown. Sophomore guard David Duke is the only other player in double figures, scoring 11.7 points per game and dishing out 3.8 assists per game. Duke is the best outside shooter on the team, knocking down 45.3 percent of his 53 attempts from long range. Junior center Nate Watson is adding 9.4 points per game and 4.3 rebounds per game off the bench.

Creighton needing win

Creighton has now lost three of its last four games after tallying an eight-game winning streak earlier this season. The Blue Jays are 13-5 overall and are in fifth in the Big East standings. Their recent losses have come to No. 5 Butler, No. 16 Villanova and Georgetown. Creighton’s lone win in this recent stretch of games was a 77-65 win on the road against Xavier last Saturday. Georgetown head coach Patrick Ewing picked up his first win in five tries against Creighton on Wednesday. The Hoyas used a 13-2 run midway through the second half to grab the lead and never look back.

The Blue Jays are led by sophomore guard Marcus Zegarowski, who is scoring 17.2 points per game and is dishing out a team-high 4.9 assists per game. He is an excellent outside shooter, making 45 of 115 from downtown for a 39.1 percent clip. Junior guard Ty-Shon Alexander is scoring 15.9 points per game and is grabbing 6.0 rebounds per game. He is one of three weapons from beyond the arc, hitting 41 of 109 attempts. Junior guard Mitch Ballock is adding 12.3 points per game. He has been the best outside shooter, knocking down 53 of 118 for a 44.9 percent rate.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Creighton is playing too well offensively to fade right now. The Blue Jays enter Saturday’s game with the No. 15 offense in the country, according to KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency metrics. The Blue Jays results are showing up in the spread, as they have covered at a 6-2-1 ATS rate over their last nine games. Providence has been doing the opposite, going 4-9 ATS in its last 13 contests. The Friars are also just 2-4 ATS in their last six games against Creighton. I like the home team to win and cover on Saturday.

Prediction: Creighton -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I like this one to go under the total. These teams both tend to slow the game down and play in the half court when they match-up. Eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between the two teams have gone under the number. Creighton has gone under in 13 of its last 18 Big East games, as it really puts an emphasis on defense. Providence has also been an under team lately, with four of its last six games going under the total. With the way these teams tend to play against each other, I have to take the under.

Prediction: Under 140.5

Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.