Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#659 Elon 139 vs.
#660 Delaware -10.5
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#659 Elon University
#660 University of Delaware
5-14
12-7
9-6-1
10-8
10-6
12-5-1
67
73
71
69

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This article covers a past game!

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Elon takes on Delaware in CAA action on Saturday afternoon at 2pmET from Newark.

Elon is 1-5 in the CAA, which places them tied for ninth place, while the Blue Hens are a disappointing 2-4.

Last season, the Phoenix edged the Blue Hens at home by one, while Delaware beat them at home by 12.

So much for momentum

Elon destroyed UNCW 80-63 last Saturday and the loss was so damaging for the Seahawks, that they fired head coach C.B. McGrath. Instead of taking that home win, which halted a six-game losing streak, and beginning something special, Elon went back to losing. They were crushed on Thursday night by an improved Drexel team 63-41.

This happened despite the fact that Elon led by one at the half, but was outscored 43-20 in the second half by the Dragons. The Phoenix shot a pathetic 31% from the field and 4-of-24 from beyond the arc. Hunter McIntosh led Elon with 12 points and eight rebounds.

KenPom has Elon ranked at 318th and is 308th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Marcus Sheffield leads the Phoenix with 16.7 points per game on 41% shooting and 36.6% from long range.

If Elon has a strength, it's their three-point shooting (36.3%), despite the fact that they struggled against Elon. Defensively, they allow 71.7 points per game on 43.4% shooting (34.2% 3pt). They are also getting outrebounded by 2.6 per game.

Delaware's struggles continue

Delaware lost at Towson by 16 last Saturday and they were hoping to bounce back on Thursday at home. However, they had to face the hottest team in the CAA in William & Mary. The Blue Hens fell down by six at the half (39-33) and just couldn't get over the hump in a 77-68 loss. Most teams have struggled against the Tribe's size and Delaware was no different. They did a decent job against 7-foot Andy Van Vliet, holding him to eight points on 2-of-9 shooting, but he did grab 11 boards. But 6-10 Nathan Knight thrived with 25 points and 14 rebounds (11-12 FT).

Overall, Delaware did a solid job defensively, holding William & Mary to just 41% shooting, but they made 20 of 23 free throws (87%) and 9-of-24 (38%) from long range. On the other end, Kevin Anderson led the Hens with 25 points on 9-of-17 shooting, while Ryan Allen added 17. Delaware shot 44% from the field (11-26 3pt), but they turned the ball over 15 times, went to the line just 11 times and was outrebounded 35-29.

Delaware needs to get more production from their post players. Justyn Mutts (6-7, 220) fouled out in 24 minutes with no points against the Tribe. Dylan Painter (6-10, 240) and Colin Goss (6-11, 230). Mutts averages 11.7 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Goss adds 7.5 points and 5.9 rebounds. Painter adds 11.3 points and 5.3 rebounds, but they weren't able to match Knight and Van Vliet on Thursday night. They could have their way against Elon's smaller frontcourt.

The Hens are averaging 73.5 points per game on 47.5% shooting (36.3% 3pt), so offense is not the issue. It's on the defensive end where they rank 232 in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I misjudged Delaware against William & Mary, figuring they could steal the game at home because they had Painter and Goss in the paint to counteract the Tribe's big men. Neither post player was able to stay with Nathan Knight. The good news is that Elon doesn't have a quality big man that even comes close to Knight or even Van Vliet. The Hens have Nate Darling, Allen and Anderson to score from the perimeter. With three quality scorers, this team should be better than 2-4 in the CAA. They'll prove that with an easy win on Saturday at the BOB.

Prediction: Delaware -11

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Delaware plays at a moderate pace, but they should play faster because Allen, Anderson and Darling are pretty athletic. Elon went over six straight times before their horrendous performance against Drexel on offense. They can score points, but they also allowed 102 to Hofstra and 77 to Northeastern. Delaware is not Drexel when it comes to the defensive end so neither team plays a ton of defense. The Blue Hens would rather shoot threes than get to the line or stop teams defensively. Take the over.

Prediction: Over 138.5
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!