Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#693 Loyola Marymount 138.5 vs.
#694 San Francisco -10.5
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 4:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#693 Loyola Marymount University
#694 University of San Francisco
7-11
13-6
7-10
8-9-1
9-8
11-6-1
66
79
68
71

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It’s a battle of teams from the West Coast Conference on the floor up in the city by the bay. The Loyola Marymount Lions are on the road as they travel to face the San Francisco Dons Saturday afternoon. Loyola Marymount was dropped 75-67 on the road by Pepperdine in their latest contest Thursday night. San Francisco slipped past Pacific 79-75 on the road Thursday night in their last game. The Dons own a 100-45 edge in the all-time series between the teams but it was the Lions taking a 74-69 road win in the most recent matchup on March 2, 2019.

Loyola Marymount Lions Trying to Get Back on Track

Loyola Marymount comes into this contest losers of three straight games, which is part of a bigger issue. The Lions are 7-11 for coach Mike Dunlap this season and stand 1-3 in conference play on the year. After starting the year 2-4, Loyola Marymount won three of four to get to the .500 mark at 5-5 on the season. Since that point, the Lions have dropped six of their last eight games and they’ve cracked the 70-point plateau just once in that span. Loyola Marymount’s best win on the season came against Air Force, which is currently just 157th in the rankings according to KenPom.com.

The Lions are averaging 66.5 points per contest on the year, putting them tied for 333rd in the nation in scoring offense. Loyola Marymount is collecting just 29.7 rebounds per contest and dish out an average of 12.2 assists per contest. The Lions have been solid defensively, allowing an average of 68.4 points per contest, which is 162nd in the nation. Eli Scott leads the team with 15.9 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists a night this season. Ivan Alipiev is the only other player averaging in double figures with 10.6 points a night. Parker Dortch, Erik Johansson, Jordan Bell, Keli Leaupepe, Seikou Sisoho Jawara and Deovaunta Williams all put up at least 4.2 points a night. The Lions shoot 46.6 percent from the field as a team this season. Loyola Marymount averages 5.8 three pointers a night while knocking down 32.2 percent from beyond the arc. The Lions are sinking a dismal 63.9 percent of their attempts at the charity stripe this season.

According to KenPom.com, the numbers for Loyola Marymount leaves plenty to be desired on both ends of the floor. The Lions are 201st in offensive efficiency and 237th in defensive efficiency this season. Loyola Marymount stands 232nd in three-point field goal percentage defense (34.3 percent) and 272nd in two-point field goal percentage defense (52.4 percent) this season. The Lions are extremely deliberate on the offensive end as they are 341st in tempo as they have only 64 possessions per game. Loyola Marymount is 343rd in time per possession as they hold the ball for 19.8 seconds per possession on the year.

San Francisco Dons Seek Third Straight Win

San Francisco lost coach Kyle Smith before the season and promoted Todd Golden into his spot. The Dons haven’t missed a beat this season as they enter this contest 13-6 on the year and they evened their conference mark at 2-2 with the win over Pacific. San Francisco started the year 7-0 on the year before dropping two straight. The Dons won four of five after that only to follow it with three straight defeats. San Francisco’s loss at Portland on January 4 is an ugly one on the ledger but the Dons have regrouped with wins over Santa Clara and Pacific since then.

The Dons enter this game 30th in the nation in scoring offense with 79.7 points per game on the year. San Francisco is 173rd in rebounding by pulling down 36.8 boards per contest while dishing out 12.6 assists a night, which is 269th in the country. The Dons are 238th in scoring defense as they allow 71.4 points per game on the season. Charles Minlend is leading the team with 15.2 points plus 4.2 rebounds per contest. Jordan Ratinho adds 9.6 points a night while Jamaree Bouyea chips in 13.3 points per contest. Jimbo Lull contributes 12.2 points plus 7.5 rebounds per game while Khalil Shabazz puts up 9.4 points plus 3.4 boards per game. San Francisco shoots 45.3 percent from the field as a team on the season. The Dons knock down 10 triples per game while shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc on the year. San Francisco is good at the charity stripe, converting 72.9 percent of their attempts at the stripe this season.

The Dons are an aggressive offensive team according to KenPom.com this season. San Francisco is 38th in the nation in offensive efficiency, 42nd in effective field goal percentage (53.2 percent), 87th in turnover percentage (18 percent) and 92nd in offensive rebounding percentage (30.7 percent) this season. The Dons’ biggest weakness defensively is on the perimeter as they are 342nd in three-point field goal percentage defense (39 percent) but Loyola Marymount isn’t suited to exploit that. San Francisco is an up-tempo team as they are 83rd in the nation in tempo with 70.8 possessions per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

Loyola Marymount is extremely weak on the offensive end of the floor this season and they are going to have their work cut out for them here. The Lions are winless on the road this season, going 0-5 on the year. Loyola Marymount has cracked the 70-point mark just four times in their last 18 games this season. San Francisco is a high-octane offensive attack with plenty of weapons to make life tough for opposing teams. The Dons are 9-3 at home on the year and they have won two straight coming in. Minlend and company extend their win streak to three games by triumphing here.

Prediction: San Francisco Dons -10.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Loyola Marymount has their work to do offensively to find someone to step up beyond Scott on the offensive end of the floor. The Lions shoot the ball well, ranking 46th in the nation in field goal percentage, but they turn the ball over on 20.5 percent of their possessions this season. San Francisco is a very good offensive team and they can do a ton of damage on the perimeter, which is going to test a weak offensive Loyola Marymount attack. The Dons get their fair share of points and this one edges just over the number thanks to their perimeter shooting.

Prediction: Over 138.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.