Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#721 Northern Illinois 137.5 vs.
#722 Bowling Green -7
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 4:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.

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#721 Northern Illinois University
#722 Bowling Green State University
9-8
12-5
6-10
5-9-1
5-11
9-6
67
76
64
72

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Bowling Green will be looking to build on a three-game winning streak when it hosts Northern Illinois on Saturday afternoon. Northern Illinois is 9-8 and was blown out by Akron on Tuesday. The Falcons are coming off an 85-82 road win against Western Michigan on Tuesday, which moved them to 12-5 on the season.

Northern Illinois playing inconsistently

Northern Illinois has had an up-and-down season, alternating wins and losses in its last six games. The Huskies picked up a win against Chicago State, but lost to Green Bay by one point in their next game. Then they earned a 73-72 win against Buffalo before losing by a point to Central Michigan in the following game. Northern Illinois’ most recent two-game sample was a 71-68 win against Eastern Michigan followed by the blowout loss to Akron on Tuesday. The Zips raced out to a 44-20 lead at halftime to essentially seal the deal.

The Huskies are led by one of the nation’s leading scorers—senior guard Eugene German. He is pouring in 20.2 points per game and is grabbing 4.1 rebounds per game. German is the only scorer on the team in double figures. He leads the team in made 3-pointers, knocking down 42 of 120 from beyond the arc. Senior forward Lacey James is scoring 9.1 points per game and is grabbing a team-high 7.7 rebounds per game. Sophomore guard Trendon Hankerson is adding 7.4 points per game and is the most efficient outside shooter on the team. Hankerson has drilled 45.7 percent of his 46 attempts from downtown.

Falcons on three-game winning streak

Bowling Green also suffered a blowout loss to Kent State recently, but the Falcons have bounced back with a three-game winning streak. They opened the streak with a 78-76 nail-biter against Miami (Ohio) at home. Then they went on the road and dispatched of Ohio and Western Michigan. Bowling Green led Western Michigan by nine points with three minutes to play, but the Broncos pulled within two with just over a minute left. The Falcons held on to win the game by three points, as four players hit double figures.

Junior guard Justin Turner is scoring a team-high 17.9 points per game, is grabbing 5.2 rebounds per game and is dishing out 3.0 assists per game. Senior guard Dylan Frye is scoring 14.5 points per game and is distributing a team-high 4.3 assists per contest. Frye leads the team in made 3-pointers, knocking down 37 of 118 attempts. Junior wing Daeqwon Plowden is the last player in double figures, scoring 13.2 points per game. Plowden is also Bowling Green’s leading rebounder, pulling down 7.6 boards per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Bowling Green is simply un-backable in the market right now. The Falcons are clearly not performing to expectation, going 1-9-1 against-the-spread in their last 11 games. They are also awful at home, covering zero times in their last nine tries inside the Stroh Center. Northern Illinois has not been fantastic, but the Huskies are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against a conference opponent. They have also been excellent at bouncing back from losses, so they should be able to do enough to grab a cover in this one.

Prediction: Northern Illinois +7

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Northern Illinois is definitely a team that is shaded to the under. The Huskies are No. 299 in the country in KenPom’s adjusted tempo ratings. Due to their slow pace, eight of their last 10 games have gone under the number. Each of their last six road games have gone under the total as well. These teams historically play ugly, low-scoring games, as 10 of the last 13 head-to-head contest have gone under the total. That run includes each of the last six games hosted by Bowling Green. I like this one to stay under the number.

Prediction: Under 138
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Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.