Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#657 Purdue 123 vs.
#658 Maryland -5.5
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes



#657 Purdue University
#658 University of Maryland, College Park


This article covers a past game!

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It's home sweet home for No. 17 Maryland (3-3 B10), after losing two straight road games. They'll host Purdue (3-3 B10) at 2pmET from College Park on Saturday in a Big 10 battle.

Last season, Maryland defeated Purdue at home by 14 and lost on the road by two.

Impressive home win

Purdue has had a very good season thus far, probably similar to Maryland's. They have losses to Marquette (65-55), Texas (70-66), Florida State (63-60ot), Nebraska (70-56 on the road), Illinois (63-37) and Michigan (84-78ot). Somehow, the Boilermakers are 3-3 in the Big 10 and after losing two straight, they bounced back with a 29-point home win over Michigan State on Sunday. Trevion Williams led the Boilermakers with 16 points, seven boards and four assists. Purdue shot 46% from the floor and held the Spartans to just 35% shooting (2-16 3pt).

KenPom has them rated at 17 and 62nd in adjusted offensive efficiency and 6th in defensive efficiency. They shoot just 41.7% from the field (283rd) and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Defensively, they allow just 59.6 points per game (12th) on 39.4% shooting (51st) and 27.2% from long range (11th).

Purdue has five players averaging between 9.8ppg and 11.4 led by the 6-9, 270-pound Williams, who also shoot 50% from the field and just 44.8% from the line. Purdue has a lot of size led by Williams and Matt Haarms (7-3, 250), but guard play can be shaky.

Road woes continue

Maryland played just one true road game in non-conference play and lost to a decimated Seton Hall team by four. (52-48). They also have losses at Iowa (67-49), Penn State (76-69) and most recently, Wisconsin (56-54) on Tuesday. In the Badgers' loss, the Terps had a one-point lead with 13 seconds left but junior forward Daryl Morsell's inbounds pass to Anthony Cowan Jr. was deflected by Brad Davison and hit Morsell, who was standing out of bounds. Davison then nailed a baseline three-pointer to give the Badgers the win. The Terps had a chance to tie or win the game on the next possession, but Cowan's three-pointer was off.

Jalen Smith led the Terps with 18 points and nine boards, while Cowan (16.2ppg) added 16 points. The Terps shot just 40% from the field, but they outrebounded the Badgers by 12. They let that game slip away.

KenPom has the Terps at No. 13 with the 41st ranked adjusted offensive efficiency and 7th adjusted defensive efficiency. Defense is Maryland's strength as they allow just 61.4 points per game (28th) on 37.6% shooting (17th) and 31.5% three-point shooting. But offense has been erratic at best. They shoot just 41.3% from the field (295th) and 30.7% from beyond the arc (290th).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Big 10 basketball. You gotta love it. A lot of defense and some broken backboards due to bricks. These teams rely on defense, but Maryland needs to get out and run. They can't make this just a halfcourt game because Purdue has so much size. Chol Marial (7-2, 230) is a limited player at this point and he'll only play about 10 minutes against Haarms. That means a lot of Jalen Smith popping three-pointers against Haarms or Williams. This isn't a great matchup in terms of size, but this is the same Purdue team that put up 37 points at Illinois and scored 56 at Nebraska. This is where homecourt advantage and a loud crowd helps the Terps. Go with the home team.

Prediction: Maryland -5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


One of these teams could score in the 40's. Purdue is that bad offensively. Maryland ranks 195th in terms of pace and Purdue ranks 282nd. These teams have gone under in three straight games, while the Terps have gone under in four straight games. Both squads are struggling to shoot and Maryland is an abysmal three-point shooting team.

Prediction: Under 125

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!