Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#639 St. Josephs 154.5 vs.
#640 Penn -9
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#639 St. Josephs
#640 University of Pennsylvania
3-14
7-6
8-9
6-6
7-9-1
5-7
69
76
81
73

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A pair of schools from the City of Brotherly Love take the floor in non-conference action when the Atlantic 10 battles with the Ivy League. The Saint Joseph’s Hawks are on the road as they make the trip to face the Penn Quakers Saturday afternoon. Saint Joseph’s suffered a 71-61 home loss to Rhode Island Wednesday night in their last contest. Penn was dropped 63-58 by Princeton on the road last Friday in their previous contest. The Hawks own a 44-23 edge in the all-time series between the teams but the Quakers have won the last two matchups, including a 78-70 home win in the last matchup on January 26, 2019.

Saint Joseph’s Hawks Hoping to Snap Slide

Saint Joseph’s has had a rough season under coach Billy Lange as they come into this game 3-14. The Hawks started the year 2-1 with a home win over Bradley and a road win over Connecticut on the books. Since then, Saint Joseph’s has dropped 13 of 14 games with their lone win in that stretch a 15-point home triumph over William & Mary. The Hawks have lost five straight games, with four of those by double figures, and stand 0-5 in Atlantic 10 play. Saint Joseph’s gets a brief respite from conference play here before returning home to face VCU Tuesday.

The Hawks enter this contest 255th in the nation in scoring offense with 69.5 points per game on the season. Saint Joseph’s is 110th in rebounding with 38.1 boards a night while they stand 242nd by dishing 12.9 assists per contest. The Hawks have struggled on the defensive end as they are 346th in scoring defense by allowing 81.3 points a game. Ryan Daly is putting up a team-leading 19.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest. He’s the only player in double figures this season. Lorenzo Edwards, Rahmir Moore, Taylor Funk and Myles Douglas each put up at least seven points a night for the Hawks. Saint Joseph’s is shooting 37.6 percent from the field as a team this season. The Hawks average 9.2 three-pointers a night despite shooting only 29 percent as a team from beyond the arc. Saint Joseph’s is inconsistent at the charity stripe, converting 67.9 percent of their attempts. Funk has been out since late November with a hand injury and is out indefinitely, thinning the rotation.

According to KenPom.com, there are plenty of issues for the Hawks this season. Saint Joseph’s is 307th in the nation in defensive efficiency this season. In addition, the Hawks are 262nd in effective field goal percentage defense (51.8 percent), 319th in three-point field goal percentage defense (37.2 percent) and a miserable 352nd in turnover percentage as they force the opposition to cough the ball up on just 14.2 percent of their possessions. Saint Joseph’s plays fast as they are 30th in tempo with 72.5 possessions a night.

Penn Quakers Looking to Get Back on Track

Penn suffered back to back losses against Princeton in Ivy League action and they look to regroup here. The Quakers are trying to avoid a third straight loss that would drop them to .500 on the season. Penn does have some big wins on the ledger as they beat Alabama and Providence on the road this season. The Quakers hung tough against Arizona on a neutral floor, losing by 10, and fell by 11 on the road against Villanova. Penn had a lengthy layoff coming into this game and they’ll be off for another week before facing Temple on January 25.

The Quakers come into this contest averaging 76.5 points per game on the season, putting them 78th in the country in scoring offense. Penn grabs an average of 36.5 rebounds a night while dishing out 16.2 assists per contest. The Quakers are 286th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 73.7 points per game. AJ Brodeur is leading the team with 15.8 points plus 8.9 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game this season. Jordan Dingle (14.9 points), Ryan Betley (13.2 points, 5.6 rebounds) and Devon Goodman (13.7 points) are solid scoring options for coach Steve Donahue. Eddie Scott, Bryce Washington, Lucas Monroe and Max Martz all log double-digit minutes per game. On the season, Penn is shooting 45.7 percent from the field as a team. The Quakers are knocking down 9.6 triples a night while sinking 34 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. Penn does need to improve at the charity stripe as they cash in only 67.4 percent of their attempts this year.

Penn is 126th in the nation in offensive efficiency according to KenPom.com this season. The Quakers are 68th in effective field goal percentage (52.1 percent), 29th in two-point field goal percentage (54.2 percent) and seventh in non-steal turnover percentage (7.1 percent) this season. Penn does have to improve in their perimeter defense as they are 321st in three-point field goal percentage defense (37.2 percent) on the year. The Quakers are accustomed to a fast pace as they are 74th in the nation in tempo with 70.9 possessions per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Saint Joseph’s has been dreadful all season and their inability to make plays on the defensive end of the floor is a major problem. The Hawks have had major problems on the defensive end of the floor this season and the fact that Penn can shoot the ball from the outside is going to be a big factor. Saint Joseph’s doesn’t have much in the way of weapons outside of Daly that they can rely on offensively. The Quakers are the better team and they have a quartet of guys that can hurt you on any given possession. Give Penn the upper hand as Saint Joseph’s sees their skid extend to six.

Prediction: Penn Quakers

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Saint Joseph's has been abysmal defensively and playing a quick tempo hasn't helped their cause any this season. The Hawks are 296th in field goal percentage defense (49.6 percent) this season and seeing that Penn is 84th in field goal percentage on the offensive end, it could be a long afternoon. Saint Joseph's is just 349th in field goal percentage on the offensive end and 329th in three-point percentage this season. The Hawks will give themselves plenty of opportunities and Penn will expose their defense, helping this one over the number.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.