Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#711 UAB 125 vs.
#712 FAU -4
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 4:00pm EST
Written by David Hess



#711 University of Alabama Birmingham
#712 Florida Atlantic University


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College hoops action on Saturday afternoon and a pair of teams from Conference U.S.A. will square off as the UAB Blazers grapple with the Florida Atlantic Owls at FAU Arena in Boca Raton, Florida. These teams met once last year and the Blazers won that game at home by a score of 67-50. UAB enters this game at 11-7 overall, including 2-3 in league play while the Owls are 3-1 within Conference U.S.A. and 11-6 overall.

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The Road Has Not Been Kind To The Blazers

The UAB Blazers have had a nice 11-7 start to their year but they have gone just 2-3 in league play thus far. both wins have come at home while all three losses have been on the road. In their last game, the Blazers fell to the FIU Golden Panthers on the road by a score of 93-68 and they have now averaged just 54.7 ppg in their three conference road games while averaging just 59.4 ppg in league play overall. The offense has been an issue for UAB all season so far and they will look to get it going in this one against an FAU defense that has allowed just 74.2 ppg in league play thus far.

Back to the 25 point loss to FIU. The Blazers shot just 42% from the field overall, including 37.5% (6/16) from long range while committing 15 turnovers. Leading the attack was Will Butler, who had 11 while Tyreek Scott-Grayson and Tavin Lovan each had 10. The defense has been among the best in the nation but it didn't get the memo that there was a game on this night. FIU hung up 93 points on an impressive 63% shooting from the field overall, including 69.6% (16/23) shooting from long range. The Blazers will be facing another decent offensive team in this one so it will be interesting to see if their defense can get back on track.

UAB enters this game ranked 323rd in the nation in scoring at 64.3 ppg, 167th in field goal percentage at 43.9%, 274th in three-point shooting at 31.3% and 236th in free-throw shooting at 68.1%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 30th in points allowed at 61.4 ppg, 49th in defensive FG% at 39.4% and 86th in three-point defense at 30.8%.

The Owls Have Been Flying High At Home

The Florida Atlantic Owls have been the opposite of the UAB Blazers as they are 3-2 in league play while both losses coming on the road while all three wins have been here at home. The Owls are now an impressive 10-1 at home for the year and they have averaged 78.2 ppg while allowing 67.5 ppg in those games. The Owls have been a decent offensive team this year and they are off of a 97-94 OT win over Middle Tennessee State at home. Yes, the game went to OT but the Owls still put up 85 points in regulation. Keeping that offense going will not be all that easy against a UAB squad that has allowed just 61.4 ppg on the year.

Florida Atlantic shot 51% from the field overall, including 38% (11/29) from downtown. Those are very solid numbers and they had just nine turnovers in the contest. Leading their attack was Cornelius Taylor, who had 26 points while Richardson Maitre had 19 and Jailyn Ingram had 16. The defense did not have it's finest moment as they allowed the Blue Raiders to connect on 46% of their shots from the field overall, including 56% of their shots from long range. The Owls did force 14 turnovers and that was pretty much the difference in the game. They will be taking on one of the worst offenses in the nation in this one.

The Owls enter this game ranked 142nd in the nation in scoring at 72.8 ppg, 197th in field goal percentage at 43.5%, 159th in three-point shooting at 33.8% and 250th in free-throw shooting at 67.8%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 168th in points allowed at 68.5 ppg, 226th in defensive FG% at 43.5% and 262nd in three-point defense at 34.4%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I'm a bit surprised the line is this low. The Owls have been a very strong team at home this year where they have gon 10-1 and the Blazers have lost all three conference road games thus far. the Blazers have struggled to score this year, especially on the road where they have averaged just 60.9 ppg. The Owls have not had their struggles on offense at all and they have averaged and FAU has averaged a strong 78.2 ppg at home. FAU has outscored their foes by 12.7 ppg at home while the Blazers have been outscored by 7.1 ppg on the road, plus the home team is 10-1 ATS the last 11 games in this series. Look for the Owls to soar to an easy win in this one.

Prediction: FAU -4

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I will take a shot at the over in this one. The Blazers have struggled to score on the road but the Owls have allowed 67.5 ppg at home. The Owls have been a strong offensive team at home where they have averaged 78.2 ppg and the Blazers have allowed 68 ppg on the road. UAB just allowed 93 points in their last road game and while this will not be an uptempo game, I still see the game being played in the 130s. Sealing the deal is the fact that that the Over is 5-1 in UAB's last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 7-3 in FAU's last 10 home games.

Prediction: Over 128

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.