Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#781 Youngstown State 145 vs.
#782 Wright State -11
Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 7:00pm EST
Written by The Stash



#781 Youngstown State University
#782 Wright State University


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Horizon League action here as the Wright State Raiders host Youngstown State Penguins. Wright State might be the best team in the conference this year and they enter this one at 16-4, while Youngstown State sits at 11-8. Oddsmakers have the Raiders as a double-digit favorite for this one, which will be streamed by ESPN+.

Youngstown State Turning A Corner?

Youngstown State might finally emerging from their rebuild. After being one of the worst teams in the Horizon League for many years in a row, they decided to hire young D2 coach Jerrod Calhoun to lead their program. Things weren't great in his first two years at the helm, but they made some strides last season. They performed reasonably well in conference play, giving them some momentum entering this campaign. So far things have gone reasonably well, and they enter this one at 11-8. All of that being said, it isn't quite as good as it seems. They've played a ridiculously easy schedule, and they don't have any impressive wins.

To demonstrate how lucky they've been getting, each of their past two wins came by two points or fewer. In their most recent game when they had to go on the road to play one of the other best teams in the conference in Northern Kentucky, they got smoked by 25. They've lost plenty of games by lopsided margins when they've had to face a step up in competition, and they have failed to cover the spread in four straight games. They are also just 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine road games. They only have one guy scoring in double figures, and they are shooting just 30.1 percent from downtown as a team. They might be on the right path, but they very clearly still have some work to do.

Wright State A Consistent Winner

Wright State has managed to become a pretty consistent mid-major winner. Two seasons ago they made it to the NCAA tournament, and last year they made it to the NIT after tying for the Horizon League regular-season title. This year they're back for more, and things have been going pretty well. While they are neck-and-neck with Northern Kentucky, they are arguably the best team in the conference, and they enter this one at 16-4. Each of their four losses have been by seven points or fewer, so you can't really hold them against them. They've been really good at home, and each of their last four home victories have come by double-digits.

Not surprisingly given those figures, they are 13-6-1 against the spread in their last 20 home games. Wright State likes to play at a very fast pace, but they've managed not to turn it over too much even while playing up-tempo. The offense has been impressive, and they have four different guys averaging at least 11 points per game. Loudon Love, a hefty big man, is definitely their most intriguing player. He's averaging a double-double this year, and holds things down in the middle. Their next two top scorers are Bill Wampler and Cole Gentry, and each of those guys are shooting at least 39 percent from downtown. They give Love two very solid options to kick it out to.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I like Wright State a lot here, and I think they win this one in blowout fashion. Each of their last four home victories have come by double-digits, and that streak isn't going to end here. Youngstown State has only beat terrible teams, and for the most part they've been slaughtered when they've had to face a step up in competition. They've been awful on the road recently, while Wright State seems to have a very real home court advantage. Youngstown State doesn't have the offense to hang here, and Wright State will get out to a big lead early by pushing the tempo.

Prediction: Wright State

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I think the under also makes a lot of sense here. I'm very low on this Youngstown State offense, and they have virtually no shooting. They only have one guy averaging in double-figures scoring, and that isn't going to cut it here. Not surprisingly, the under is 7-3 in their last 10 contests. Wright State likes to push the tempo, but it's not like they are extremely efficient on offense either. Youngstown State plays at a pretty slow pace, and I think this one should be pretty sleepy.

Prediction: Under

Written By Alex Porter , "The Stash"

Alex Porter is one of the premier minds in basketball and football handicapping. With a degree in statistics, Alex uses advanced metrics as well as copious amounts of film study to make his picks. Since starting his betting career at the age of 18, the recent college graduate has never had a losing football season. We are very glad to have Alex as a part of our team here at StatSalt.