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Oregon State vs. Arizona Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 1-19-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#733 Oregon State
Beavers 132.5
#734 Arizona
Wildcats -4.5

Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oregon State Beavers

11 - 5

10-6
ATS
5-11
O/U
73
PPG
66
OPPG

Arizona Wildcats

13 - 5

9-9
ATS
8-9
O/U
73
PPG
65
OPPG

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It’s a Pac-12 matchup on the hardwood as a pair of programs continue conference play in the Valley of the Sun. The Oregon State Beavers are on the road as they make the trip to face the Arizona Wildcats Saturday night. Oregon State fell 70-67 on the road at Arizona State Thursday night in their last game. Arizona fell 59-54 at home to Oregon Thursday night in their previous contest. The Wildcats lead the all-time regular season series between the teams 63-21 and have taken the last five meetings, including a 75-65 overtime road win in the last matchup on February 22, 2018.

Oregon State Beavers Shoot to Earn Split of Desert Trip

Oregon State hung tough but couldn’t get the critical plays to swing their way in crunch time. The Beavers hope to split their two road games against the Arizona schools and bounce back from their first conference loss of the year. Oregon State trailed by nine at the half and by as many as 18 before storming back to within 68-67 with 22 seconds to go. The Beavers stole an inbounds pass but turned the ball over on the ensuing possession with a chance to take the lead. The team missed a three at the buzzer that could have tied the game. Oregon State shot 39.3 percent from the field, including 10 of 29 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 41-34. Ethan Thompson and Tres Tinkle (seven rebounds, six assists) each had 21 points in the loss to lead the Beavers.

The Beavers are putting up an average of 73.8 points per game this season. Oregon State is solid on the glass, collecting an average of 38.7 rebounds per contest and dishes out 16 assists per game. The Beavers are tied for 49th in scoring defense by allowing 66.3 points a game. Tres Tinkle leads the team with 20.1 points, 8.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game on the season. Stephen Thompson Jr. puts up 15.3 points per game while Ethan Thompson chips in 13.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. Alfred Hollins, Gligorije Rakocevic, Kyler Kelley, Warren Washington and Zach Reichle all will be looked to contribute by coach Wayne Tinkle. Oregon State shoots 46.4 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Beavers connect on seven threes a night while shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc. Oregon State has been extremely good at the charity stripe as they cash in 74.6 percent of their chances on the year.

Arizona Wildcats Try to Bounce Back

Arizona suffered their first loss in conference play as their offense was stymied at home by Oregon. The Wildcats now try to regroup after that defeat and get back on track in this contest. Arizona found itself down eight at the half and by 13 with 14 minutes to play in the game. The Wildcats attempted to rally, closing to four on a couple of occasions and to three with five seconds to play. That was as close as they would get as they simply ran out of time. Arizona shot 36.5 percent from the field, including a six of 22 showing from beyond the arc, and turned the ball over 14 times in the loss. Chase Jeter had 12 points and 10 rebounds to lead the way for the Wildcats.

The Wildcats average 73.7 points per game this season. Arizona grabs 35 rebounds per contest while they hand out 12.4 assists per contest. The Wildcats have been very good on the defensive end of the floor as they are 43rd in the nation by allowing 65.7 points a night. Brandon Randolph leads the team with 15.7 points per game. Chase Jeter chips in 13.3 points plus 7.6 rebounds a night, Brandon Williams averages 11.4 points plus 3.7 assists and Justin Coleman adds 8.9 points per contest. Ryan Luther, Dylan Smith and Ira Lee each put up at least 5.3 points per game for the team. Arizona shoots 45.2 percent from the field as a team this season. The Wildcats connect on seven three pointers a night while shooting just 33.7 percent from beyond the arc. Arizona has been solid at the free throw line as they sink 75 percent of their chances this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Both teams come off losses in this one with Oregon State falling in Tempe while Arizona was defeated at home by Oregon. The difference in the games was that the Beavers covered the line (they were 4 to 4.5 point underdogs depending on the book) while the Wildcats were losers both straight up and ATS (they were favored by 5.5 against the Ducks) Thursday night. Oregon State has their veteran quartet of Tinkle, the Thompsons and Rakocevic to do damage. Arizona doesn’t have the weapons they used to and the McKale Center isn’t as intimidating. Take the points and the Beavers in this one.

Prediction: Oregon State Beavers +5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

We’ve got a couple of very good defenses on the floor in this one, which means that points could be at a premium. Oregon State has seen the under go 11-5 in their games this season while Arizona has seen the under come up in 10 of their 18 contests. The Beavers are 24th in the nation in field goal percentage defense, holding opponents to 39.6 percent shooting on the year. Oregon State has benefited by having the ninth-lowest free throw percentage against (63.6 percent) this season. With two top-50 scoring defenses on the floor, are we looking at another low scoring affair?

The under is 4-0 in the Beavers’ last 4 games following a straight up loss, 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 7-2 in their last nine overall. Arizona has seen the under go 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-1 in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. The teams have stayed under the total in each of the last five meetings at Arizona: this one follows suit as the defenses rule the day.

Prediction: Under 133

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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