Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#841 Davidson -8 vs.
#842 Fordham 119
Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Nick Cowie

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#841 Davidson University
#842 Fordham University
7-9
6-10
5-11
6-10
5-11
4-12
69
59
67
60

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The Davidson Wildcats and Fordham Rams will face off this Sunday afternoon in the Bronx in an Atlantic 10 matchup. Both teams are off to losing starts this season. Davidson comes into this one off a loss to Richmond with a record of just 1-3 in the Atlantic 10. A win is vital here to keep them in the race early on. Fordham is off to an even more unfortunate start, losing all four of their conference games so far, putting them at the bottom of the barrel. After losing eight of their last nine, the Rams are desperate to get back on track.

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Davidson needs the three to fall

The Davidson Wildcats took a tough loss to Richmond in their last time out. In that performance, their offense had trouble getting going. That has been an issue for Davidson all season with their inconsistent shooting. As a team, Davidson shoots just 43 percent from the field. This comes from their heavy reliance on the three-point shot. The 34 percent mark they put up from three is solid, but when the long ball doesn't fall, their offense falls apart. Jon Axel Gudmundsson has been their most active three-point shooter with 90 attempts already on the year. He is 31 percent from deep and averages 12.4 points per game total.

Davidson has been defensively sound for most of the season. They allow an average of just 67.8 points per game. With a three-point percentage down around 33 percent on nearly 100 less attempts than the Wildcats, they have a massive edge in terms of scoring. An area that Davidson has struggled is in the rebounding department. They pull in just 31.9 boards per game which is 1.5 less than their opponent. Despite that discrepancy, the Wildcats actually outdo their opponents on the offensive glass. If they can create second opportunities for their shooting, Fordham will be in trouble.

Fordham struggles without their top scorer

Things have not been going great for Fordham lately to say the least. The Rams won four of their last five to start the year but have since won just one game in their last nine. During their four-game losing streak, Fordham's offense has not managed to put up more than 60 points. In fact, they have been held in the 40's in two of those four games. Davidson is by no means an offensive powerhouse, but they will have no issues getting a big win if Fordham can't pick things up offensively. As a team, they average just 59.4 points per game and no one on the roster putting up more than 11 per game.

Unfortunately for Fordham, that 11.0 points per game comes from Chuba Ohams. He has been ruled out for the rest of the season and the offense has noticeably suffered as a result. Without Ohams at their disposal, this Fordham team has very little chance to keep up with the scoring of Davidson. They will have to step up in a huge way defensively to cover. Opponents average 60.5 points per game which recent events have indicated will be plenty to take down the Rams. Fordham is also a poor rebounding team that typically gets outdone on the boards. They also shoot just 38 percent from the floor, adding up to a team that doesn't have a lot to get past a team like Davidson.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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To cut to the chase, Fordham has nothing this season. Their best player is out for the season and their offense struggles to reach even the 50 point mark. Davidson has a pretty solid defense and should have no trouble keeping Fordham's scoring to a minimum. Davidson's biggest weakness, their rebounding will not be much of a factor here as Fordham is pretty bad in that area as well. The three point shooting and general capabilities of Davidson will help them cruise past the Rams.

Prediction: Davidson Wildcats -7.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This is a low line but with Fordham's inability to score, the over cannot be trusted. Davidson is no offensive powerhouse in their own right so it is not likely that they will put up a crazy number like 80 unless the three in uncharacteristically on point. Fordham should be able to keep this game slow and defensively minded enough that the scoring does not get out of hand.

Prediction: Under 122
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Written By Nick Cowie

Nick graduated with an environmental science degree and is a freelance writer, covering anything from fighting to forestry. He is a washed up swimmer and a sports and comedy enthusiast.