#25 Miami Hurricanes (13-4; 7-5 ATS; 5-7 O/U) vs. N.C. State Wolfpack (13-6; 6-6 ATS; 7-5 O/U)
Line: Miami -1
The 25th ranked Miami Hurricanes will clash with the N.C. State Wolfpack in ACC action Sunday afternoon from the PNC Arena. The Hurricanes came up short in an 83-75 home loss to Duke in their previous battle, and the Wolfpack notched a 72-63 home win against Wake Forest in their latest action. Miami defeated N.C. State in both meetings last season.
Hurricanes Fall to Duke in Third ACC loss
The Miami Hurricanes will be on the prowl for a victory after they allowed a 13-point lead to slip away in their 83-75 home loss to #5 Duke on Monday to drop their ACC record to 2-3. The Hurricanes shot a weak 37% on the night, while Duke was able to crack their defense with a 55% shooting performance. Lonnie Walker IV led the way offensively with 19 points on 6 for 17 shooting. The freshman guard is only shooting 40.9% on the season, and stands third in team scoring with 9.2 points per game. Hurricanes’ leading scorer Dewan Huell recorded his third double-double of the season in the loss to Duke with 18 points and 13 rebounds. The sophomore forward is a solid defensive player and is averaging 1.2 blocks per game. Huell is averaging 13.9 points and 6.9 rebounds per game.
The Hurricanes have lost three out of their last four games and they desperately need a win to stay within range of the top teams in the ACC. They will need more offensive production going forward and are in danger of falling out of the Top 25 Rankings. Miami is currently averaging 73.2 points per game, ranking them 202nd overall. They rely on their defense to win games, and are limiting opponents to 62 points, good for 10th in the nation.
Wolfpack’ Defense Shines in Third ACC Victory
The N.C. State Wolfpack played stifling defense in their 72-63 home win against Wake Forest on Thursday to improve to 3-3 in ACC play. The Wolfpack only shot 41.9% from the field, however they were able to hold Wake Forest to a 38.5% clip. Omer Yurtseven was tremendous in the winning effort, collecting 22 points on a 9 for 16 mark from the field. The seven-foot sophomore center has surpassed 20 points in two of his last three games, and is currently averaging 12.8 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. Wolfpack’ leading scorer Allerik Freeman was quiet in Thursday’s win, netting seven points on 2 for 7 shooting. The senior guard is on a 2 for 12 stretch from the field in his last two games, and is now posting an average of 13.8 points on 33% shooting.
The Wolfpack are playing well, winning three out of their last four games after starting ACC play with an 0-2 record. They defeated #2 Duke followed by a home win against #19 Clemson and are placed at 67th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. N.C. State is scoring an average of 80.8 points per game, ranking them 45th overall. They are holding opponents to 72.1 points, positioning them 177th overall.
The Miami Hurricanes are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
The N.C. State Wolfpack are:
- 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win.
- 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
I am siding with Miami in this battle. Miami will be desperate for a win and I expect them to come out on top. They are one of the best defensive teams in the country, and are limiting opponents to 38.3% shooting, and N.C. State is a mediocre shooting team. They are shooting a poor 32.7% from three-point territory, and the Wolfpack won’t be able to have their usual offensive success against this defense, similar to their recent loss to Virginia where they only shot 41%. Furthermore, N.C. State is below average defensively, and the Hurricanes own a team field goal percentage of 47%.
Pick: Miami Hurricanes
The Hurricanes are one of the best defensive teams in the country and they should be able to contain the Wolfpack. Miami is holding opponents to 38% shooting and N.C. State has not been productive against the stronger defensive teams in the ACC, and the under is 5-1 in the Wolfpack’ last six games following an ATS win. The Hurricanes are not a high scoring team, and they have scored fewer than 70 points in four of their five road games, plus the under is 9-2 in Miami’s last 11 road games overall.