Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#623 Appalachian State 145.5 vs.
#624 Coastal Carolina -6
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 1:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#623 Appalachian State University
#624 Coastal Carolina University
10-10
11-9
8-9-1
8-9-1
8-9-1
11-6-1
68
78
66
73

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This article covers a past game!

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Appalachian State takes on Coastal Carolina in a battle of 4-5 Sun Belt teams on Saturday afternoon. Last season, these teams split the series with App State winning at home by nine and the Chants winning by 17 on their home floor.

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Mountaineers playing poorly

Appy State broke a three-game losing streak on Jan. 16 with an 83-8o overtime win over Arkansas State at home. But instead of starting a long winning streak, they were smoked at home to Arkansas-Little Rock 73-57 last Saturday. The Mountaineers struggled from the field, making just 33% from the floor and 31% from distances. They also converted just 14 of 23 free throws (61%), while Little Rock shot 54% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc. Justin Forrest led the Mountaineers with 20 points and eight steals, but also had five turnovers.

KenPom has the Mountaineers at 197 overall, at 251st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 147th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Forrest (6-2, 185) leads the way with 18.6 points per game and has scored 20 or more points in three straight games. Offensively, they are shooting just 42.4% from the field and a dismal 29.9% (314th) from beyond the arc. They are also making just 65.5% (311th) from the free throw line this year. On defense, they are allowing 67 points per game on 41.3% shooting (32.3% three-point).

Chants struggle at home

Coastal Carolina won three of their last four heading into a homestand that opened with Little Rock (71-55 loss) and Arkansas State (80-75). It obviously didn't end the way they intended it to. In the win over ASU, the Chants were up by 12 in the second half but couldn't hold on. They wasted a career-high 32 points from Keishawn Brewton, who had eight three-pointers. Tommy Burton added 16 points and 13 boards for Coastal Carolina, who shot 42% from the field and 31% from beyond the arc. The Chants also turned the ball over 18 times, led by six from DeVante Jones.

Jones (6-1, 200) has struggled the last two games with 10 turnovers and 12 assists. He's averaging 15.1 points per game, 5.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists. Brewton leads the Chants with 15.3 points per game on 40.1% shooting (38.2% 3pt). They rank 164th according to KenPom, 150th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 194th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They allow 73.5 points on 41% shooting (35.2% 3pt). But they are very strong on the boards, outrebounding their opponents by 5.6 per game. Tommy Burton (6-8, 215) leads the Chanticleers with 7.2 rebounds (11.5ppg).

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Full-Game Side Bet

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I'm taking Coastal Carolina to cover here. Their rebounding advantage will be the key in this matchup, especially considering Appalachian State has been dominated over their last two games on the glass. It would also be embarrassing to end the homestand at 0-3 so expect the Chants to be very moativated. Appy State has not only lost five of seven, but they are 0-7 ATS their last 7 overall. They've lost three straight games in double digits on the road.

Prediction: Coastal Carolina

Full-Game Total Pick

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Coastal Carolina wants a track meet. They rank 38th in pace of play with 75.0 possessions per game and they are at home. Defensively, they have struggled lately, allowing 76.5 points per game over their last four. They've gone over in four of their last five. App State has gone over in four of their last six games. They've allowed 80 or more poitns in three of five games.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!