Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#775 Notre Dame 142.5 vs.
#776 Florida State -8.5
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 8:00pm EST
Written by David Hess

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#775 University of Notre Dame
#776 Florida State University
11-7
16-2
6-10-2
10-8
7-11
10-8
75
75
67
63

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College Basketball action on Saturday evening and a pair of teams from the Atlantic Coast Conference will square off as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish grapple with the Florida State Seminoles at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida. These teams met once last year and the Seminoles won that game at home by a score of 68-61. Notre Dame enters this game at 11-7 overall, including 2-5 within the ACC while the Seminoles have gone 6-1 in league play and 16-2 overall.

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Another Tough Loss For The Irish

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are not on a good path towards making it to the NCAA Tournament. They enter this game at 11-7 overall, including 2-5 in league play. They need to turn things around quickly and if they do get on the bubble then a win in this game would be a huge addition to their resume. The Irish have gone just 1-3 in their last four games and they have been involved in many close games overall. The Irish enter this game off an 84-82 home loss to Syracuse and their last six games against Power Six conferences have all been decided by five points or less. Notre Dames's five losses in league play have been by a total of 11 points. They just can't seem to get over the hump. KenPom has the Irish ranked 68th in the nation overall and they have faced the 146th ranked slate of games.

Back to the hard-luck loss to the Orange at home. Notre Dame shot 46% from the field overall, including 36% (13/ 36) from long range while committing just seven turnovers. The Irish continue to rank 2nd in the nation in turnovers committed per game at just 9.7. Leading their attack in the game was John Mooney, who scored 21 points and grabbed 13 board while Dane Goodwin had 15. Mooney continues to lead the nation in rebounding at 13.8 rebounds per game. The Orange did shoot just 31% from long range in the game but they also hit 46% of their shots from the field overall while committing just six turnovers.

Notre Dame enters this game ranked 87th in the nation in scoring at 75.4 ppg, 236th in field goal percentage at 42.6%, 111th in three-point shooting at 34.6% and 160th in free-throw shooting at 70.9%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 128th in points allowed at 67.1 ppg, 86th in defensive FG% at 40.5% and 212th in three-point defense at 33.3%.

The Seminoles Are Red-Hot

The Florida State Seminoles always seem to be a dangerous team that can knock any team off on any night. That is exactly what they have been doing of late and the 'Noles will look to keep it going against a Notre Dame team that has been struggling of late. Florida State enters this game off of an 83-79 OT win on the road over the Miami Hurricanes and they have now won their last nine games in a row and 16 of their last 17. FSU has gone 6-1 in league play and KenPom has them rated at 16th in the nation while the Noles have faced the 40th ranked slate of games. I feel they are stronger than the KenPom ranking, but we shall see going forward.

Florida State has won their last two games by four points each after winning six of their previous seven by 10 points or more. Florida State shot 42% from the field overall, including 36% (10/36) from long range while hitting 15 of their 18 free throw attempts. They did commit 15 turnovers but also forced 21 of them. Leading their attack was Devin Vassell, who had 23 points and 11 boards while M.J. Walker had 13 points. Other than forcing many turnovers, the defense was not great as Miami shot 47% from the field overall, including 46% (11/24) from long range but FSU was aided by seven missed free throws by the Canes.

Florida State enters this game ranked 84th in the nation in scoring at 75.5 ppg, 64th in field goal percentage at 46.0%, 137th in three-point shooting at 34.2% and 31st in free-throw shooting at 76.3%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 53rd in points allowed at 63.6 ppg, 62nd in defensive FG% at 40.1% and 185th in three-point defense at 32.9%.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Seminoles are the better team in this one. I will not dispute that. Still, I feel the Irish can keep this one close. Notre Dame has played many close games of late as their last six games against teams from a power six conference has been decided by five points or fewer while they have been outscored by a total of 11 points in their last five losses combined. This is a tough spot for the Noles as they have faced Virginia at home and Miami on the road in their last two games while having a date with Virginia on the road on deck.  Florida State has been on fire of late but they have won their last two games by just four points each and I do not see them winning this one by more of that. Take the Irish.

Prediction: Notre Dame +8

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Irish have been a solid offensive team this year and they have put up 82 and 88 points in games against Syracuse, which has a very strong defense. The Seminoles have also played very well on defense they and they have allowed just 64 ppg at home but the Irish have averaged a solid 73.9 ppg on the road. The FSU offense has been strong at home where they have averaged 80.3 ppg and will be facing a Notre Dame defense that has allowed 76.4 ppg on the road. The Noles will speed up tyhe tempo and the Irish will oblige. They have to if they hope to stay in this game. The game should also be rather close throughout and that means a free throw battle at the end of the game. The Over is 4-1 in Notre Dame's last five games following an ATS loss and 36-16 in Florida State's last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Prediction: Over 143
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.