Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#787 Saint Mary's -9 vs.
#788 Loyola Marymount 127.5
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 9:00pm EST
Written by The Admiral



#787 Saint Mary's College of California
#788 Loyola Marymount University


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St. Mary’s Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lions

NCAA: Saturday, January 25, Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, California, 9:00 PM ET

The St. Mary’s Gaels won three of the previous four games, including the last two over the Pepperdine Waves and San Francisco Dons. The Gaels now improved to a 17-4 record (4-2) in conference play and are in the 2nd place in the WCC.

The Loyola Marymount Lions snapped a four-game losing streak with a home victory over the Portland Pilots. Loyola Marymount improved to an 8-12 record (2-4 in conference play) and is in 8th place in the WCC.

These conference rivals met once last season, and the Gaels won that game at Gersten Pavilion. St. Mary’s won each of the last 14 H2H duels, while the Gaels were better in the previous 11 meetings on the road.

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The Gaels allowed season-low 48 points in a win over the Dons

St. Mary’s didn’t impress offensively against the San Francisco Dons but displayed the best defensive performance of the campaign in a 58-48 home win. The Gaels actually trailed by three points at halftime before switching to a higher gear defensively and allowing just 20 points to the visitors in the second half. The hosts forced 17 turnovers and recorded 11 steals opposite San Francisco’s five, while the Gaels made 12 free throws more than the Dons (13-1). Junior forward Malik Fitts led St. Mary’s with 18 points and was the only Gael in double figures in a win.

The Gaels have the 86th offense in the NCAA that averages 75.4 points per game, and they are facing the Lions’ 146th defense that allows 67.8 points per contest. The Lions are 277th in rebounds with 33.8 and 219th in assists with 12.7 per game.

The Lions’ first-half performance was enough to beat the Pilots

Loyola Marymount managed to end the four-game losing run with a 77-65 home victory over the Portland Pilots, thanks to a strong first-half display. The Lions played very well defensively in the opening 20 minutes and kept the visitors to 28 points, scoring 37 on the other end. Although the Pilots played better in the second half, that wasn’t enough to avoid a loss. Loyola Marymount shot over 50.0% from the floor and dominated in both rebounds (43-24) and assists (22-13). The hosts did commit even 19 turnovers opposite Portland’s six, but luckily for the Lions, that didn’t hurt them in this game. Freshman forward Keli Leaupepe led the Lions with career-high 24 points and eight rebounds off the bench. Parker Dortch followed him with 20 points and four boards, while Jordan Bell had 13 points, four rebounds, and two steals.

The Lions have the 304th offense in the NCAA that averages 66.3 points per game, and they are facing the Gaels’ 89th defense that allows 65.6 points per contest. The Lions are 343rd in rebounds with 30.7 and 241st in assists with 12.5 per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


St. Mary’s is dominating H2H meetings in recent years and is an absolute favorite to get a win on Saturday. One of the least efficient offenses in college basketball has no chance against the Gaels, and I don’t see how the hosts can win this game. Loyola Marymount is without a victory in H2H duels since 2012, while the Lions are winless at home in the last decade. After having only one player in double figures in a win over San Francisco, I am backing the Gaels to have at least three players with 10+ points, and I am going with the visitors to secure a comfortable win here.

Prediction: St. Mary’s Gaels -10 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Despite scoring 77 points in a win over the Portland Pilots, the Lions have been struggling offensively in the past few weeks. They failed to score more than 67 points in five straight games before that win over the Pilots, and I don’t think their weak offense can cope with St. Mary’s strong defense that is allowing 65.6 points per contest. Loyola Marymount’s defense is a better part of the team, so the hosts will try to make upset with some solid D. However, I don’t think that will work for the Lions, but I also don’t think we’ll have a high-scoring affair. I am going with Under in this one.

Prediction: Under 128 (-110)

Written By The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so the Admiral knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.