Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#711 USC 140.5 vs.
#712 Oregon State -3.5
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 5:00pm EST
Written by The Admiral

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#711 University of Southern California
#712 Oregon State University
15-4
12-7
11-8
11-8
8-11
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73
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USC Trojans vs. Oregon State Beavers

NCAA: Saturday, January 25, Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, Oregon, 5:00 PM ET

The USC Trojans were on a three-game winning streak, but they failed to make it four in a row as the Oregon Ducks stopped them in double overtime. The Trojans now dropped to a 15-4 record (4-2 in conference play) and are in the 4th place in the Pac-12.

The Oregon State Beavers suffered four defeats in the last five games, and are on a three-game losing run. After the most recent home loss to the UCLA Bruins, the Beavers dropped to a 12-7 record and are in the 11th place in the Pac-12.

These conference rivals met twice last season, and the Beavers won both duels. Before those two games, the Trojans were better in six consecutive H2H encounters.

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The Trojans fell short to the Ducks in double OT

USC hoped to get another crucial victory after defeating Stanford in a tight game at home, but the Oregon Ducks edged the Trojans in a 79-70 double-overtime win. The Trojans had a chance to climb up to the top of the Pac-12; however, the Ducks prevented them and remained ahead of USC with this win. The hosts were better on defense, forcing even 18 turnovers and recording 14 steals opposite USC’s three. Freshman forward Onyeka Okongwu led the Trojans with a double-double of 23 points and game-high 14 rebounds, along with game-high six blocks. Jonah Mathews scored 13 points, while Daniel Utomi added ten points and four boards.

“You’ve got to take care of the ball. Some ill-timed passes that went to the other guys. We just have to make the right basketball play,” USC coach Andy Enfield said. “Give them credit, they’re a good defensive team.”

The Trojans have the 117th offense in the NCAA that averages 73.8 points per game, and they are facing the Beavers’ 154th defense that allows 68.1 points per contest. The Trojans are 21st in rebounds with 40.5 and 58th in assists with 15.0 per game.

The Beavers suffered a narrow home loss to the Bruins

Oregon State is going through the worst period of the season as they experienced the third consecutive defeat, this time to the UCLA Bruins at home. The Beavers displayed a disappointing offensive performance in a 62-58 loss, shooting only 36.6% from the field and recording four steals opposite UCLA’s 13. Senior forward Tres Tinkle led the Beavers with 17 points, game-high eight rebounds, four assists, and two blocks. Ethan Thompson contributed with 14 points and six boards, while Zach Reichle finished the tilt with 12 points and a couple of steals.

“We’ve just gotta find a way to defend when we need to defend no matter what (defense) we’re in,” Oregon State coach Wayne Tinkle said.

The Beavers have the 83rd offense in the NCAA that averages 75.5 points per game, and they are facing the Trojans’ 152nd defense that allows 68.0 points per contest. The Beavers are 272nd in rebounds with 33.9 and 43rd in assists with 15.4 per game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Even though Oregon State won both H2H encounters last season, I am going with the Trojans in this one. USC is playing better at the moment, while the beavers are in the worst run since the beginning of the campaign. The visitors are among the top 30 teams in college basketball when it comes to rebounding. With such a dominant young player as Onyeka Okongwu, I am backing the Trojans to get a win on Saturday. Unlike Oregon State, the Trojans have a chance to finish the regular season at the top of the conference. They will be highly motivated to secure a victory after falling short to the Oregon Ducks in the last game.

Prediction: USC Trojans +2.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Oregon State failed to score more than 76 points in six of the last seven games, and following a poor offensive display in a loss against UCLA, I don’t think the Beavers will score a bunch of baskets here. Although they have a better offense than the Trojans this season, it is clear that the Beavers are struggling on offense lately, which is an excellent chance for the visitors to come away with a win. The duels between these conference rivals tend to be close, but unless we have overtime, I think we’re going to have a low-scoring affair. I am backing Under.

Prediction: Under 142 (-110)
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Written By The Admiral

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