Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#709 UT Arlington 132.5 vs.
#710 Texas State -4
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 5:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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Teams
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W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#709 University of Texas Arlington
#710 Texas State University
8-12
12-8
8-9-1
7-11
10-8
9-9
71
72
68
64

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This article covers a past game!

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Texas-Arlington takes on Texas State in Sun Belt action on Saturday afternoon at 5pmET. The Mavs are 4-5 in the Sun Belt, while the Bobcats are 5-4.

Last year, UTA won both games including an 84-77 win in overtime on the road.

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Road warriors

Texas-Arlington is coming off an 81-65 road win over Louisiana on Jan. 16 and a 78-58 win over ULM on Jan. 18. Last Saturday, the Mavericks took apart the Warhawks, led by Brian Warren and Radshad Davis, who had 19 points apiece. Davis also grabbed 14 rebounds as UTA dominated the glass by 25 over Louisiana-Monroe. They also held ULM to just 38% shooting and 3-of-16 (19%) from beyond the arc.

Guard David Azore (6-4, 205) leads the Mavericks with 15.7 points per game with 5.0 rebounds on 47.4% shooting (39.7% 3pt). Warren (5-9, 170) adds 13.1 points and 3.7 assists.

UTA averages 71.4 points per game on 41.7% shooting (30.7% 3pt). They struggle on the boards (-1.4) but shoot free throws well (76.1%). Defensively, they allow 68.6 points per game on 40.6% shooting (30.9% 3pt). KenPom has UT Arlington at 112th, despite the 8-12 overall record. They are also ranked 101st in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Bobcats on fire

Texas State lost to Troy at home 71-63 on Jan. 6 as a 10.5-point favorite. Since then, they've won four straight beating Coastal Carolina (78-66), Appalachian State (82-57), ULM on the road (64-63), and Louisiana-Lafayette (68-59). In their victory over Louisiana, Nijal Pearson led the way with 18 points on 7-of-20 shooting (4-12 3pt). The Bobcats shot just 43% from the floor (8-25 3pt), but they held Louisiana to 36% shooting and 6-of-19 from beyond the arc (32%). Texas State also forced 16 turnovers from the Ragin' Cajuns.

Pearson (6-5, 200) leads the way for the Bobcats with 19.1 points per game with 5.0 rebounds on 42.9% shooting (38.4% 3pt). Overall, Texas State has a pretty good offense, averaging 72.7 points per game on 45.5% shooting (34.1% 3pt). They are outstanding on the defensive end, holding teams to just 64.1 points per game (58th) on 39.7% shooting (35% 3pt).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both teams are playing extremely well right now but I'm going with Texas Stae, who is ranked 122nd by KenPom. They are the more balanced team on both sides of the ball. At home, they are holding teams to just 37.9% from the field and 59.8 points per game. On the road, UTA is shooting just 41.2% from the field and just 31.2% from beyond the arc. They also have some quality bigs in Eric Terry (6-8, 230) and Isaiah Small (6-8, 175), who pound the glas.

Prediction: Texas State

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

While both teams play solid defense, they've also played a ton of overs recently. UT-Arlington wants to play at a faster pace and they've done so in their last three games, which have gone over. They've averaged nearly 80 points per game in that span. Texas State meanwhile, has gone over in seven straight games before the Louisiana game. This game will go over and the pace will be played moderately fast.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!