Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#709 UT Arlington 132.5 vs.
#710 Texas State -4
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 5:00pm EST
Written by Winning Willie

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W/L
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#709 University of Texas Arlington
#710 Texas State University
8-12
12-8
8-9-1
7-11
10-8
9-9
71
72
68
64

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Saturday afternoon college hoops action features a Sun Belt showdown between the Texas-Arlington Mavericks and the Texas State Bobcats. The Mavericks have dominated this series in recent years, winning the previous four meetings as well as eight of the last ten. UT-Arlington took down UL-Monroe while the Bobcats knocked off UL-Lafayette last time these teams took the court. Tip-off is set for approximately 5:00 PM ET from the Strahan Coliseum on the campus of Texas State for this contest.

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Mavericks Make Most Of Monroe

UT-Arlington cruised to a nice 78-58 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday to continue their recent success. This marks the third victory in their last four games and brings the team to 4-5 in Sun Belt action. The Mavericks had yet to pick up a quad-1 win, but they did snag a quad-2 win earlier in the season. Three of their 12 defeats were listed as quad-3 losses while three more of them were registered as quad-4 losses.

David Azore leads the UT-Arlington attack with 15.7 points per game. Brian Warren averages 13.1 points with 3.7 assists and Radshad Davis puts up eight points an outing as well. The Mavericks grab 37.3 rebounds per contest and they shoot 41.7% from the floor with 30.7% from deep. They commit 11.6 turnovers a night and convert on 76.1% of their free throw attempts. Kenpom lists UT-Arlington as the 112th best team in the country while their NET ranking is 118th and their RPI ranking is 165th.

Bobcats Rolling, Extend Streak

Texas State has been outstanding as of late and they continued this as they took care of UL-Lafayette 68-59 last time around. This is their fourth straight and fifth victory in their last six, and the team sits at 5-4 in conference play. The Bobcats have yet to register either a quad-1 or a quad-2 win this campaign. Three of their eight defeats were listed as quad-3 losses while two more qualified as quad-4 losses.

Nijal Pearson leads the Texas State offense with 19.8 points per game. Mason Harrell adds ten points and Isiah Small averages eight points with 6.8 boards a night as well. The Bobcats snag 33.6 rebounds per contest and they shoot 45.5% from the floor with 34.1% from three-point range. They commit 11.7 turnovers an outing and shoot 76% from the free throw line as a squad. Kenpom lists Texas State as the 122nd best team in the nation while their RPI ranking is 144th and their NET ranking is 145th.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am playing the road underdog in this Sun Belt contest Saturday afternoon. UT-Arlington has dominated this series as they have won the last four meetings and eight of the last ten, and they covered in both battles last season as well. The Mavericks are the better rebounding team as they grab 37.3 boards an outing while Texas State only snags 33.6 per game themselves. Both of these teams have played well defensively as a whole, but the Bobcats have been susceptible to the three ball and I believe that UT-Arlington can take advantage of this. I believe that the Mavericks have the firepower to keep this game within one possession if they don't win outright.

Prediction: UT-Arlington Mavericks +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both of these teams have played well offensively this season as they score a combined average of 144.1 points per game. These teams play at a slower pace than the average as the Mavericks come in ranked 192nd with an average of 71.2 offensive possessions an outing while Texas State is ranked 318th, only averaging 68.3 possessions per contest themselves. Despite the slow tempo, this game should go over as both of these squads are efficient offensively. UT-Arlington shoots 41.7% from the floor and only commits 11.6 turnovers per game and the Bobcats shoot 45.5% from the floor with only 11.7 turnovers a night. Eight of the last ten meetings between these teams have played to the over and this one will be no different as both of these teams have more than enough offensive firepower to take this game over the total.

Prediction: Over 132.5
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Written By Will Moorman , "Winning Willie"

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